Nintendo Cuts Outlook as Switch Ages in a Weak Games Market

Nintendo Co. cut its full-year earnings and revenue outlook, underscoring uncertainty around its aging Switch console and the global gaming environment.

(Bloomberg) — Nintendo Co. cut its full-year earnings and revenue outlook, underscoring uncertainty around its aging Switch console and the global gaming environment.

The Kyoto-based company said it missed its targets for console sales toward the year’s end, while foreign currency volatility also played a role. It now expects operating income of 480 billion yen ($3.6 billion) for the year ending March, down from 500 billion yen previously. It’s projecting net sales of 1.6 trillion yen, down from 1.65 trillion yen. 

Many investors had expected the company to increase its guidance thanks to twin games Pokémon Scarlet and Pokémon Violet, which became the fastest-selling Nintendo games in the company’s history. The company reported operating profit of 190.2 billion yen and sales of 638.2 billion yen in the December quarter, both weaker than average estimates.

“The outcome was weak and that’s a surprise. The year-end holiday season suggested sales of hardware weren’t that strong despite amplified supply, which also weakened sales of software,” Toyo Securities analyst Hideki Yasuda said. “It’s now clear that the Switch’s momentum is downward.”

Nintendo has sat out the rally in tech stocks this year and may remain stuck in the doldrums until it unveils a successor to its Switch game console, which has seen sales declining over the past two years.

The downgrade came despite strong sales of twin games Pokémon Scarlet and Pokémon Violet, which were released in November. It made for a successful end to the year, as only weeks earlier, Splatoon 3 had set a new high for fastest domestic sales in Japan. Game sales have helped prop up momentum of the Switch console, demand for which has started to show signs of slowing.

Read more: Nintendo Plans to Boost Switch Output to Meet Resilient Demand

Nintendo may be able to fire up sales with new special editions of the Switch console, Yasuda has said, tying in with blockbuster launches such as the latest Legend of Zelda installment.

“If Nintendo prepares at least two special editions, it can still sell more than 20 million units in the next fiscal year,” Yasuda said. “Without that, sales would be 18 million or fewer, which, to be honest, is still strong for hardware of that age.”

 

 

–With assistance from Vlad Savov.

(Updates with company and analyst’s comment from the second paragraph)

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