Stocks Wobble, Treasury Yields Climb After PMI: Markets Wrap

Stocks wavered amid mixed corporate earnings and as traders parsed the latest data for clues on the outlook for inflation, economic growth and the Federal Reserve’s policy path.

(Bloomberg) — Stocks wavered amid mixed corporate earnings and as traders parsed the latest data for clues on the outlook for inflation, economic growth and the Federal Reserve’s policy path.

The S&P 500 was little changed. Treasury two-year yields, which are more sensitive to imminent Fed decisions, rose to around 4.2%. The dollar fluctuated.

US business activity unexpectedly climbed to nearly a one-year high, risking more inflation. The S&P Global flash April composite purchasing managers index rose 1.2 points to 53.5 – the highest since May.

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Fed Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said late Thursday the US central bank is getting near to the end of its tightening campaign to tame prices. His Cleveland counterpart Loretta Mester noted she favored getting rates above 5% because inflation was still too high. The benchmark currently stands between 4.75% and 5%.

“We are in the camp of a US recession in the second half, and expect data to weaken going forward,” said Mohit Kumar, a strategist at Jefferies International. “Once the last Fed hike is done in May, the market will start to focus on the weak economic data, and bad data will become bad news.”

Corporate highlights:

  • Tesla Inc. increased prices of its Model S and X vehicles in the US after steep markdowns early this year took a toll on profitability and the carmaker’s shares.
  • Regions Financial Corp. reported a drop in total deposits for the first quarter to $129.04 billion.
  • Procter & Gamble Co. raised its sales projection for the fiscal year ending in June, citing higher prices and a slight increase in demand for some of its products.
  • SLB, the world’s biggest oil-services provider, posted its best first-quarter profit in eight years.
  • Freeport-McMoRan Inc. churned out more copper than expected in the first quarter in a boost to tight global supplies, although the top publicly traded supplier trimmed annual sales guidance.

“We are at the beginning of earnings season, and the beginnings of the past four earnings seasons have coincided with strong stock market performance,” wrote Carol Schleif, chief investment officer at BMO Family Office. “We are not convinced that trend will continue. We expect stocks to remain in a tight trading range for some time.”

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The S&P 500 was little changed as of 12:43 p.m. New York time
  • The Nasdaq 100 was little changed
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1%
  • The MSCI World index fell 0.2%

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
  • The euro was little changed at $1.0978
  • The British pound fell 0.1% to $1.2427
  • The Japanese yen was little changed at 134.13 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 0.7% to $28,008.7
  • Ether fell 2% to $1,900.18

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced two basis points to 3.56%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 2.48%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to 3.76%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.4% to $77.65 a barrel
  • Gold futures fell 1.6% to $1,987.70 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

–With assistance from Carly Wanna, Isabelle Lee, Angel Adegbesan and Peyton Forte.

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