Hurricane Hilary’s top winds weakened as it churned north toward California and Mexico’s Pacific Coast, after exploding in strength overnight.
(Bloomberg) — Hurricane Hilary’s top winds weakened as it churned north toward California and Mexico’s Pacific Coast, after exploding in strength overnight.
Hilary has peak winds of 130 miles per hour, down from 145 mph earlier, but it is still a Category 4 storm in the five-step Saffier-Simpson scale, the US National Hurricane Center said in a late afternoon advisory. Hilary is forecast to come ashore in Mexico over the weekend before lashing California and the US Southwest with flooding rains through Monday.
Tropical storm watches have been posted in California from the border with Mexico to Los Angeles and Orange counties, the hurricane center said. Hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings have also been raised along much of Mexico’s Baja California coastline, as well as parts of its mainland shore. Heavy rains that could trigger landslides from late Friday to Sunday are likely across the peninsula.
The storm’s top winds will start to ease when it starts moving over cooler water, said Adam Douty, a meteorologist with commercial forecaster AccuWeather Inc.
“By the time it gets close to land it should have lost a fair bit of intensity,” he said.
As Hilary makes landfall in Mexico’s Baja California, its winds should have weakened to about 75 mph, according to the hurricane center. It’ll likely be at tropical storm strength as the storm moves into California late Sunday and weaken further when Hilary moves inland.
Downpours
Still, Hilary is expected to bring widespread heavy rain to California and the US Southwest, raising risks of power outages, mudslides and flooding along with disruptions to ground transportation and air travel. The rain could start in the region as early as Saturday, with the worst of it arriving late Sunday into Monday.
A wide area could get 2 to 4 inches, Douty said, which would be similar to the powerful winter storms that sometimes hit California and bring flooding. Desert communities, such as Palm Springs, as well as the many railroad lines that cross the area and pass through the mountains could also be imperiled, he said.
Some areas could get more rain than they normally receive in a year, Michael Brennan, the hurricane center’s director, said in a video briefing. In the last 10 years, flooding from rains has been the leading cause of deaths from tropical systems, he said.
Flood watches cover parts of California, Arizona, Nevada, and Utah, including Los Angeles, San Diego and Las Vegas. Flooding could be worst across Southern California, especially around San Diego, the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services said in a statement.
(Updates windspeed starting in first paragraph.)
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