Is New York’s Mamdani the future of US Democrats?

Zohran Mamdani may not solve all of the beleaguered US Democrats’ problems, but the surprise frontrunner in the race for New York mayor does offer hints on how to win back voters and power.The Democrats — shut out of power in the White House and both chambers of Congress — are seen negatively by 63 percent of US voters, according to a July poll in the Wall Street Journal, the party’s lowest approval rating in 30 years.John Kane, a professor of political science at New York University, said the party needs to reconnect with parts of their traditional base, such as lower-income Americans and young voters. Mamdani, a 34-year-old self-described democratic socialist, has developed a plan aimed at luring working-class people and young adults, for whom famously expensive New York is becoming harder and harder to call home.His platform’s highlights include a freeze on rent hikes as well as free bus service and day care.Mamdani’s virulent opposition to President Donald Trump has a strong symbolic appeal for a Democratic base “which feels almost entirely powerless in the present moment,” Kane told AFP.He has a more than 10 point lead over his main rival in the November 4 election for mayor, former New York governor Andrew Cuomo, a scandal-tainted veteran Democrat who is running as an independent this time.- ‘Still has some juice’ -“Mamdani is evidence that the American left still has some juice in it in 2025,” said Daniel Schlozman, a political science professor at Johns Hopkins University.But New York — America’s biggest city, and an ethnically diverse and historically Democratic one — does not reflect the United States overall, Schlozman said.And while enthusiasm over Mamdani is one thing, his success is “a very different matter from Democrats at large winning the elections they need to win to take control of the House next year, maybe the Senate, and the presidency in 2028,” he added.Schlozman said Mamdani is a compelling leader who understands that issues of affordability in New York are critical, but cautioned that the national electorate is probably not ready for his policies.Democrats would need to address affordability in a very different way from him to satisfy voters even in other Democratic-leaning states, much less swing states that can go either way, he continued.Kane also said that outside large cities, where people are used to seeing all kinds of nationalities and heritages, Mamdani’s origin and religion and his past statements calling the police “racist” might fail to win over some voters. The candidate was born in Uganda to a Muslim family of Indian origin and became a US citizen in 2018.- ‘Right message, wrong messenger’ -Then there is also the risk of Republicans seizing on Mamdani to ridicule Democratic policies, just as Trump has dimissed him as a “little communist” who is too willing to spend taxpayer money.Many in the party “might regard Mamdani as a case of right message, wrong messenger,” said Kane in reference to Mamdani’s policies.Most moderates in the Democratic Party, such as Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer — who is from New York — have abstained from endorsing Mamdani so far.”Some moderate Democrats may shy away from Mamdani based on policy stances, while others shy away simply because they don’t view him as an electable candidate at the national level,” said Kane.Indeed, political experts say that New York differs enough from the rest of the United States that it is not necessarily the best place for a Democrat to launch a national campaign.In any case, Mamdani could only go so high in US politics — since he was not born in the United States, he cannot run for president.

Trump tells Japan US is ‘strongest level’ ally

Donald Trump told Japan’s new leader Sanae Takaichi on Tuesday that Washington is an ally of the strongest level, as the US president visited Tokyo on an Asia trip taking aim at a trade deal with China.Takaichi greeted Trump at the prime minister’s residence in Tokyo, her first face-to-face meeting with the US leader just days after she took office. “We are an ally at the strongest level, and it’s a great honour to be with you, especially so early in what will be, I think, one of the greatest prime ministers,” he told Takaichi at their meeting.Takaichi also emphasized the nations’ bond, saying “I would like to realise a new golden age of the Japan-US Alliance, where both Japan and the United States will become stronger and also more prosperous.” Trump arrived in Tokyo on Monday for a visit sandwiched between a trip to Malaysia and a meeting in South Korea with Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping that could ease the bruising trade war between the world’s two biggest economies, sparked by sweeping US tariffs.Negotiators from Beijing and Washington have both confirmed a “framework” has been agreed.In Tokyo, Trump and Takaichi are expected to focus on security and trade between their allied countries.Takashi Ito, a 58-year-old Tokyo resident, said that “what’s important is finding some kind of middle ground” on trade.”Simply pushing to raise tariffs has already created various issues.”On security, long-pacifist Japan is adopting a more muscular military stance as relations with China worsen.Takaichi, a China hawk who last week became the first woman to serve as Japan’s prime minister, said her government would achieve its target of spending two percent of gross domestic product on defence this year — two years ahead of schedule.The United States, which has around 60,000 military personnel in Japan, wants Tokyo to spend even more, potentially matching the five percent of GDP pledged by NATO members in June.Yee Kuang Heng, a professor at the University of Tokyo’s Graduate School of Public Policy, told AFP that in a bid to “deflect US pressure” on Japan to boost defence spending, Takaichi has “preemptively” brought forward the target.Apart from his meeting with Takaichi, Trump is due to deliver a speech on Tuesday on the USS George Washington aircraft carrier, docked at the US naval base Yokosuka.He will also have dinner with business leaders, likely including the chairman of carmaker Toyota.- ‘Phenomenal’ -Most Japanese imports into the United States are subject to tariffs of 15 percent, less painful than the 25 percent first threatened but still contributing to a 24-percent slump in US-bound car exports in September in value terms year-on-year.The car industry accounts for around eight percent of jobs in Japan.Under the terms of a July trade deal shared by the White House, Japan is expected to invest $550 billion in the United States.Takaichi will be at pains to establish a good relationship with Trump, who had a close personal relationship with assassinated former premier Shinzo Abe.Trump has said he heard “phenomenal things” about Takaichi, “a great ally and friend of Shinzo Abe, who was my friend”.”I think she’s going to be great.”Media reports said Trump is expected to ink deals on critical minerals and shipbuilding, adding to a flurry of agreements signed in Malaysia, where the president kicked off his first Asia tour since returning to office.The greatest prize for Trump — and for global markets — remains a China trade deal.Trump is due to meet Xi on Thursday in South Korea for their first face-to-face talks since the 79-year-old Republican’s return to office in January.”I have a lot of respect for President Xi and we are going to, I think… come away with a deal,” Trump told reporters en route from Malaysia, where comments from US and Chinese negotiators raised hopes of an accord.Trump also indicated he was willing to extend his trip in order to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, though no such meeting has been announced.

Fear of mass destruction in Jamaica as Hurricane Melissa churns in

Jamaican officials called on the public to get to higher ground and shelters on Monday evening ahead of Hurricane Melissa, with the prime minister warning it could be a massively destructive storm — the island’s most violent on record.Melissa is charting a painstakingly slow path through the Caribbean as a monster Category 5 storm, which has already been blamed for at least four deaths in Haiti and the Dominican Republic.Its heavy rains combined with intense winds — Melissa’s maximum speeds are 175 miles (280 kilometers) per hour, the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said in its latest update — could wreak devastation on the scale of historic hurricanes including 2017’s Maria or 2005’s Katrina.Those massive storms, which have grown increasingly common as the climate warms, left indelible impacts on Puerto Rico and the US city of New Orleans.Local government minister Desmond McKenzie said Monday evening that of the island’s 880-odd shelters standing by, only 133 were hosting locals.They “should be seeing people now,” McKenzie said, adding “I want to urge persons in these parishes to get to high ground as quickly as possible.”Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Holness said the island’s western end faced the worst.”I don’t believe there is any infrastructure within this region that could withstand a Category 5 storm, so there could be significant dislocation,” he told CNN.But despite pleas to evacuate, many residents in Jamaica were staying put.”I am not moving. I don’t believe I can run from death,” Roy Brown, speaking from the historic seaside area Port Royal in Kingston, told AFP.The plumber and tiler cited poor conditions and bad past experiences at government hurricane shelters for not wanting to flee.Fisherwoman Jennifer Ramdial echoed that view, also adding: “I just don’t want to leave.”Holness said evacuation was about “the national good of saving lives.””You have been warned. It’s now up to you to use that information to make the right decision,” he said during a briefing.- ‘Catastrophic’ -Jamaica was expected to see deteriorating conditions through Monday night, with landfall expected early Tuesday.Part of Melissa’s punch stems from its slow pace: it is lumbering along slower than most people walk, at just three miles per hour or less.That means areas in its path could endure punishing conditions for far longer than during most hurricanes.The NHC warned of “catastrophic” flash flooding, landslides and destructive winds that could cause lengthy power and communications outages, along with “extensive infrastructural damage.”Up to 40 inches (about a meter) of rainfall were forecast, with deluges expected to bring flash flooding and landslides to Jamaica as well as Haiti, the Dominican Republic and Cuba.Storm surge was likely along Jamaica’s southern coast, with waters potentially rising some 13 feet, along with “destructive waves.”In the farming community of Flagaman in St. Elizabeth, residents hunkered down in a store.Owner Enrico Coke said he opened his place for fear that his neighbors had nowhere to go: “I’m concerned about farmers, the fishermen will be suffering after this.””We’ll need help as soon as possible, especially water for the people.”- Dangerous flooding -After pummeling Jamaica, Melissa was forecast to head north and cross over eastern Cuba on Tuesday night.The storm has already left tragic consequences.A 79-year-old man was found dead in the Dominican Republic after being swept away in a stream, officials there said Saturday. A 13-year-old boy was missing.In Haiti, the civil protection agency reported the deaths of three people in storm conditions. Meteorologist Kerry Emanuel told AFP a warming climate was causing more storms to rapidly intensify as Melissa did, and especially raises the potential for enormous rains.”Water kills a lot more people than wind,” he told AFP.The last major hurricane to impact Jamaica was Beryl in July 2024 — an abnormally strong storm for the time of year.”Human-caused climate change is making all of the worst aspects of Hurricane Melissa even worse,” said climate scientist Daniel Gilford.

Meta and TikTok to obey Australia under-16 social media ban

Tech giants Meta and TikTok said Tuesday they will obey Australia’s under-16 social media ban but warned the landmark laws could prove difficult to enforce. Australia will from December 10 force social media platforms such as Facebook, Instagram and TikTok to remove users under the age of 16. There is keen interest in whether Australia’s sweeping restrictions can work, as regulators around the globe wrestle with the dangers of social media. Both TikTok and Meta — the parent company of Facebook and Instagram — said the ban would be hard to police, but agreed they would abide by it. “Put simply, TikTok will comply with the law and meet our legislative obligations,” the firm’s Australia policy lead Ella Woods-Joyce told a Senate hearing on Tuesday. On paper, the ban is one of the strictest in the world. But with just over a month until it comes into effect, Australia is scrambling to fill in key questions around enforcement and firms’ obligations. TikTok warned the “blunt” age ban could have a raft of unintended consequences. “Experts believe a ban will push younger people into darker corners of the Internet where protections don’t exist,” said Woods-Joyce. – ‘Vague’ and ‘rushed’ -Meta policy director Mia Garlick said the firm was still solving “numerous challenges”. It would work to remove hundreds of thousands of users under 16 by the December 10 deadline, she told the hearing. But identifying and removing those accounts still posed “significant new engineering and age assurance challenges”, she said.”The goal from our perspective, being compliance with the law, would be to remove those under 16.”Officials have previously said social media companies will not be required to verify the ages of all users — but must take “reasonable steps” to detect and deactivate underage ones. Companies found to be flouting the laws face fines of up to Aus$49.5 million (US$32 million). Tech companies have been united in their criticisms of Australia’s ban, which has been described as “vague”, “problematic”, and “rushed”. Video streaming site YouTube – which falls under the ban — said this month that Australia’s efforts were well intentioned but poorly thought through. “The legislation will not only be extremely difficult to enforce, it also does not fulfil its promise of making kids safer online,” local spokeswoman Rachel Lord said. Australia’s online watchdog recently suggested that messaging service WhatsApp, streaming platform Twitch and gaming site Roblox could also be covered by the ban.