Asian stocks struggle as China support plan falls flat, bitcoin hits record

Most Asian markets fell Monday after China’s keenly awaited plans to support the world’s number two economy fell short of expectations, while traders were also keeping tabs on Washington as Donald Trump puts his cabinet together after last week’s election win.Stocks rallied last week on hopes that a second Trump administration — supported by a Republican Congress — would push through a slew of business-friendly policies including deregulation and tax cuts, offsetting concerns about possible trade wars.However, the mood changed after Beijing said Friday it would ramp up the local government debt ceiling to help them clear so-called hidden debt, but fell short of announcing any new growth-boosting measures for the stuttering economy.Hopes had been building all last week that officials would deploy a “bazooka” stimulus, the need for which was highlighted Sunday by data showing Chinese inflation slowed last month and came in below forecasts.Authorities in late September began unveiling a raft of policies aimed at reigniting the economy, which has failed to fire since the lifting of tough Covid-fighting rules at the end of 2022.Among them were interest rate cuts and an easing of home-buying measures as leaders try to address a crisis in the country’s vast property sector.Friday’s announcement saw Chinese shares traded in New York plunge more than four percent. Hong Kong led Asian losses Monday, shedding more than one percent, while Sydney, Seoul, Wellington, Taipei, Manila, Bangkok and Jakarta also fell.There were gains in Shanghai, Tokyo, Singapore and Mumbai, while London, Paris and Frankfurt also advanced at the open.The selling came as investors ignored another record for all three markets on Wall Street, which was also helped by another Federal Reserve interest rate cut.Observers said there were concerns about the impact of Trump’s planned tariffs, which he said would have a particular focus on China, fuelling talk of another trade war between the economic superpowers.Pepperstone Group’s head of research Chris Weston said Beijing may have had an eye on this in its announcement.”Many feel that China is keeping its tactical powder in play for such time as the Trump-China tariff negotiations build, and they can respond in a more targeted fashion to stem the likely economic fallout,” he wrote.”In the short-term, however, it does suggest downside risk to China/HK equity and the yuan.”Meanwhile, bitcoin continued to push to new highs, hitting a record $81,891 Monday on optimism that Trump will ease regulations surrounding the cryptocurrency.”We shouldn’t expect this bullish trend to be interrupted for a long time — about a year. The next level for me is $100,000,” Stephane Ifrah,  of French crypto asset management company Coinhouse, told AFP.Meanwhile, researchers at Bank J. Safra Sarasin offered a largely upbeat outlook for the next year.They wrote in a report that “2024 ends with stronger economic growth, more balanced labour markets and lower inflationary pressures than we expected a year ago. In particular, the US economy was more resilient and is still headed for a soft landing”.”Yet President-elect Donald Trump’s policy proposals could lead to heightened macroeconomic volatility. Deregulation and tax cuts would boost nominal growth, but a trade war would hurt growth and raise prices.”- Key figures around 0810 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.1 percent at 39,533.32 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 1.5 percent at 20,426.93 (close)Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 3,470.07 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.8 percent at 8,134.86Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0693from $1.0724 on FridayPound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2900 from $1.2921Dollar/yen: UP at 153.72 yen from 152.62 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 82.90 pence from 82.95 penceWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.1 percent at $70.29  per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.1 percent at $73.93 per barrelNew York – Dow: UP 0.6 percent at 43,988.99 (close)

Mauritius awaits results of tense election raceMon, 11 Nov 2024 07:59:23 GMT

Mauritians are set to find out Monday who will govern their Indian Ocean island nation for the next five years after a hotly disputed election race.Both the incumbent Prime Minister Pravind Jugnauth and his main rival Navin Ramgoolam claimed their political blocs had triumphed in Sunday’s legislative poll, but appealed for calm after several incidents …

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Senegal grapples with floods, economy ahead of parliamentary electionsMon, 11 Nov 2024 06:53:50 GMT

Seeking shelter in a tent of sticks and rags after floods devastated her village in northeastern Senegal, Khardiatou Sy says she feels abandoned by the government days ahead of snap parliamentary elections.The 28-year-old is one of tens of thousands to have been displaced when torrential rains caused the Senegal River to burst its banks in …

Senegal grapples with floods, economy ahead of parliamentary electionsMon, 11 Nov 2024 06:53:50 GMT Read More »

Radio Erena: Eritrea’s voice of hope under threatMon, 11 Nov 2024 06:43:56 GMT

In Eritrea, one of the world’s most repressive countries, a tiny independent radio station broadcasting from a Paris apartment has become a beacon of hope. Transmitting trusted news for the past 15 years from a studio tucked away in the French capital’s 13th district, Radio Erena — Eritrea’s only independent media — is now under threat …

Radio Erena: Eritrea’s voice of hope under threatMon, 11 Nov 2024 06:43:56 GMT Read More »

What Trump’s re-election could mean for AfricaMon, 11 Nov 2024 05:45:05 GMT

During his first term as US president, Donald Trump sparked outrage over his remarks about African nations, but Africa leaders have been quick to congratulate him since his re-election.They are calling for cooperation with mutual respect.Veteran Kenyan politician Raila Odinga, for one, has shrugged off Trump’s comments, made at a private January 2018 meeting when …

What Trump’s re-election could mean for AfricaMon, 11 Nov 2024 05:45:05 GMT Read More »

China’s ‘Singles Day’ shopping spree in spotlight as spending flags

China’s largest online shopping bonanza wraps up on Monday, with analysts and investors watching for signs that consumption is rebounding in the world’s second-largest economy after recent efforts by Beijing to boost activity.”Singles Day” — launched by tech giant Alibaba in 2009 — has ballooned into an annual blockbuster period for retail, with days of discounts luring customers to the country’s online shopping platforms.Its name is a riff on the four ones in its date of November 11, or “11.11” — the tongue-in-cheek celebration of singlehood is a key driver of sales for Alibaba and its main competitor, JD.com.Neither firm released detailed sales figures on last year’s Singles Day for the second time running, with Alibaba saying only that it recorded growth during the period.Sluggish domestic consumption is among the top issues now facing policymakers in China, which has struggled to achieve a full post-pandemic recovery.Beijing has in recent weeks announced a slew of the most aggressive measures in years aimed at bolstering growth, including key rate cuts and increasing the debt limit for local governments.But many economists argue that in the absence of large-scale fiscal stimulus aimed at encouraging consumer spending, a return to the country’s robust pre-pandemic trajectory may be difficult to attain.This year’s Singles Day could represent a major boon for retail giants as analysts watch for signs that recent measures are having an impact.Analysts from the ING banking group said in a note last week that it expects to see “solid growth numbers” during the event, which it said “should comfortably outpace the overall consumption growth momentum”.Consumer prices in China rose at a slower rate in October, official data showed Saturday, in a further sign of languid demand.Singles Day 2024 “is expected to generate over 1.2 trillion yuan ($167 billion)… representing a growth of 15 percent compared to the previous year”, wrote VO2 Asia Pacific, a consultancy specialising in the digital economy.While the promotional campaigns could be effective in driving short-term sales, managing partner Vincent Marion warned that the strategy could have negative repercussions.”Many consumers buy in bulk to reach discount thresholds, only to return the products afterward,” said Marion, warning that the practice “erodes profit margins and damages brand perception”.Alibaba, like its main rival JD.com, withheld sales figures on the Singles Day period for the first time ever in 2022, saying instead that sales were flat from the previous year.