US, European, Chinese firms seek to draw Vietnam arms deals from Russia

Major US weapons manufacturers including Boeing and Lockheed Martin, along with Europe’s Airbus and Chinese firms, put their wares on show at an arms fair in Hanoi Thursday as Vietnam looks to diversify its defence supplies away from Russia.A US Air Force A-10 Thunderbolt attack aircraft and a C-130 Super Hercules transport were on the tarmac at Hanoi’s Gia Lam military airfield for the event.Thousands of people attended including hundreds of uniformed Vietnamese soldiers, some of whom posed for selfies with US troops ahead of next year’s 50th anniversary of the end of the Vietnam War.The defence expo featured Chinese firms for the first time, including major state-owned defence conglomerate Norinco, or China North Industries Corporation.Successive Vietnamese governments have been heavily reliant on arms supplied by Russia for decades.The country accounted for more than 80 percent of Vietnam’s arms imports between 1995 and 2023, according to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). But imports from Russia have dropped off in recent years amid international sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine.”The war in Ukraine has exposed the vulnerabilities of relying too heavily on Russian arms,” said Nguyen Khac Giang, a visiting fellow at the ISEAS–Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore.”Diversification isn’t just a necessity, it’s an opportunity for Vietnam to upgrade to more advanced systems while reducing dependence on any single partner,” Giang said.”The expo is Vietnam’s way of signalling it’s open to new partnerships.”Boeing and Lockheed Martin were among 14 American companies at the fair, while two exhibitors were Chinese and others were from Germany, Iran, Israel and Ukraine, as well as Russia.As well as aircraft, they put on display tanks, missiles, drones, firearms and radar systems, including by several Vietnamese firms.Speaking on the sidelines of the fair, US Ambassador to Vietnam Marc Knapper said US and Vietnamese companies could potentially work together in areas such as joint production and technology transfers.”Our goal is to ensure that Vietnam has what it needs to defend its interests, at sea, in the air, on the ground and in cyberspace,” he said.Both Washington and Hanoi share concerns about Beijing’s moves to assert its presence in the contested South China Sea, where Vietnam and other Southeast Asian nations have competing claims with China.At the opening ceremony, Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh described the expo as “delivering a message of peace, cooperation, and shared development”.

Stock markets decline as Fed eyes fewer rate cuts

European and Asian stock markets slid Thursday following sharp losses on Wall Street as the Federal Reserve signalled fewer cuts to US interest rates next year.In a busy week for rate decisions, the Fed on Wednesday trimmed borrowing costs by a quarter point but halved the number of similar cuts it expects to carry out in 2025.The dollar initially rallied on the outlook, while the yen was pressured Thursday also after the Bank of Japan kept borrowing costs unchanged.The Bank of England as widely expected held its key interest rate steady due to UK inflation rising again, and it did not commit to when or by how much it will cut rates in 2025.While that decision was widely expected, more BoE policymakers voted for a cut, which sent the pound trimming its gains against the dollar and falling against the euro.The split suggests “members may be more nervous about the state of the economy than originally thought,” said Daniela Sabin Hathorn, senior market analyst at Capital.com.All three main indices in New York were sent spinning lower on Wednesday — led by a rout of high-flying tech titans.”Investors were blindsided as the Federal Reserve halved the expected pace of interest rate cuts for next year,” noted Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor.The Fed said it expected to cut just twice next year, down from a forecast of four quarter-point reductions signalled in September.While inflation has “eased significantly”, the level remains “somewhat elevated” compared to the Fed’s long-term target of two percent, Fed chair Jerome Powell told reporters.Powell said he remained “very optimistic” about the state of the US economy, adding that the Fed was now “significantly closer” to the end of its current easing cycle.The Fed’s revision came as a surprise even if investors had speculated about how the US central bank would position itself as President-elect Donald Trump prepares to take office.Analysts said Trump’s plans to cut taxes, slash regulations and impose tariffs on China risked reigniting inflation.Jack McIntyre, a portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, said although the latest Fed rate-reduction had been priced in by markets, “when you include the forward guidance components, it was a hawkish cut”.”Stronger expected growth married with higher anticipated inflation — it’s no wonder the Fed reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2025.”- Key figures around 1230 GMT -London – FTSE 100: DOWN 1.2 percent at 8,101.55 pointsParis – CAC 40: DOWN 1.2 percent at 7,299.54 Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.9 percent at 20,053.63Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 38,813.58 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.6 percent at 19,752.51 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 3,370.03 (close)New York – Dow: DOWN 2.6 percent at 42,326.87 (close)Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0400 from $1.0365 Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2601 from $1.2581Dollar/yen: UP at 156.91 yen from 154.73 yen Euro/pound: UP at 82.57 pence from 82.38 penceBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.5 percent at $73.05 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.5 percent at $69.70 per barrelburs-rl/rlp

Bayrou sous pression, réunion au sommet à Matignon

Au terme d’une première série de consultations, François Bayrou convie les forces politiques, sans LFI ni le RN, jeudi à Matignon, avant de finaliser son gouvernement, mais de nombreux obstacles demeurent.Le Premier ministre invite à 14h00 les présidents de l’Assemblée nationale Yaël Braun-Pivet et du Sénat Gérard Larcher, ainsi que “les présidents de partis et de groupes qui ont eu la responsabilité des affaires du pays à une période ou à une autre de la Ve République”, écrit-il dans une lettre.Une formulation qui exclut le Rassemblement national et son allié, l’UDR d’Éric Ciotti, ainsi que La France insoumise, fondée en 2016.François Bayrou “méprise le Rassemblement national et ses millions d’électeurs”, a fustigé le vice-président du parti Sébastien Chenu.L’accueil est également frais chez certains invités mais tous devraient honorer leur participation.Les Écologistes ont fait savoir jeudi matin qu’ils se rendraient à Matignon, en appelant toutefois à ne pas poursuivre une politique “désavouée par les électeurs”. Même tonalité chez les communistes, qui entendent également “exhorter le Premier ministre à accélérer l’aide aux habitants de Mayotte”.Les premiers pas du Premier ministre sont “complètement ratés”, a commenté Marine Tondelier mercredi sur BFMTV. Il est “la risée des Français” depuis son aller-retour dans sa ville de Pau, en pleine crise à Mayotte.”Il faut qu’il bouge sur les retraites”, “sur les services publics”, “sur les impôts, sur la solidarité”, a lancé le président des députés PS Boris Vallaud sur Sud radio, se disant “inquiet” des différents signaux reçus depuis cinq jours.- Un gouvernement dimanche ? -Nommé vendredi, François Bayrou reçoit depuis responsables politiques et parlementaires rue de Varenne, groupe par groupe, en entretiens officiels ou plus informels. Sa première semaine à Matignon a surtout été marquée par le tombereau de critiques sur sa présence lundi soir au Conseil municipal de Pau, ville dont il entend rester maire, alors qu’un cyclone venait de ravager Mayotte.Il a dû s’en expliquer mardi pour sa première séance à l’Assemblée nationale, sans parvenir à faire taire les critiques. Le tout en multipliant les allers-retours à l’Élysée pour la formation du gouvernement.Emmanuel Macron étant jeudi à Mayotte, avant de se rendre ensuite auprès des troupes françaises à Djibouti, plusieurs acteurs évoquent une annonce de gouvernement dimanche. Les deux maisons de l’exécutif ne donnent aucune date.Dans sa lettre aux partis, M. Bayrou invoque, parallèlement à la crise politique et budgétaire, la situation de l’archipel de l’océan Indien, qui a subi “probablement la catastrophe naturelle la plus grave de l’histoire de France depuis plusieurs siècles”.Il évoque aussi la Nouvelle-Calédonie, estimant que “ces deux situations additionnées” placent les responsables politiques “devant des responsabilités inédites”.Suffisant pour emporter une forme d’union ? Sans majorité à l’Assemblée, le centriste, qui prône depuis des décennies un gouvernement rassemblant les diverses sensibilités, fait face aux exigences appuyées des Républicains (LR) à droite et à des velléités de censures croissantes à gauche.Le format de réunion rappelle celui d’il y a neuf jours autour d’Emmanuel Macron à l’Élysée, où avaient été évoqués des scénarios de non-censure des oppositions, en échange d’une absence de recours au 49.3 par le gouvernement ou à la dissolution par le président.- “Une chimère” -Mais les LR font monter la pression. Mercredi, François Bayrou a reçu le ministre de l’Intérieur démissionnaire Bruno Retailleau, qui venait de déclarer que les conditions n’étaient “pas réunies” de son maintien place Beauvau. “Je n’ai pas de ligne rouge”, a cependant nuancé jeudi sur TF1 Gérard Larcher qui juge qu’il faut “apporter des remèdes sur le retour à l’équilibre budgétaire et la question de la sécurité”. “Il y a urgence d’avoir un gouvernement”, a-t-il insisté. Même critique à front renversé venant de la gauche: “S’il vient pour nous proposer le même budget qu’avait proposé Monsieur Barnier (…), nous censurons”, a insisté le communiste Fabien Roussel.La réunion à Matignon est “une chimère”, a lancé Mathilde Panot. La cheffe des députés de La France insoumise dit “croire” que les quatre composantes du Nouveau Front populaire (PS, PCF, Écologistes et LFI) voteront la motion de censure que son groupe déposera le 14 janvier, après la déclaration de politique générale de François Bayrou. “C’est le moment (…) qui décidera qui est dans l’opposition au gouvernement et qui soutient ce gouvernent”, a-t-elle martelé sur RMC-BFMTV. Le Premier ministre ne recueille que 36% de satisfaction selon un sondage Ifop pour Sud Radio jeudi, contre 52% et 53% pour ses prédécesseurs Michel Barnier et Gabriel Attal, à leurs débuts à Matignon.

Markets track Wall St down after Fed forecast, BoJ hits yen

Equity markets sank Thursday following a severe sell-off on Wall Street that came after the Federal Reserve halved its rates outlook, while the yen weakened as the Bank of Japan decided against a hike.All three main indexes in New York were sent spinning Wednesday — led by a rout in high-flying tech titans — after the Fed delivered what was described as a “hawkish cut” in rates.Some suggested the retreat may have also been fuelled by president-elect Donald Trump’s opposition to a spending package aimed at averting a fast-approaching US government shutdown.While the reduction had been widely expected, its closely watched “dot plot” of projections for further moves suggested the bank will cut rates just twice next year, as opposed to the four previously forecast.Investors had already been speculating about how the Fed would position itself as Trump prepares to take office amid warnings that his plans to cut taxes, slash regulations and impose tariffs on China could reignite inflation.That was followed by Powell’s comments in which he indicated that the battle against inflation was key because it has remained stubbornly above the bank’s two percent target.”We need to see progress on inflation,” he said in a news conference. “We moved quickly to get to here, but moving forward we are moving slower.”While the Fed lifted its economic growth outlook, the prospect of rates staying higher than anticipated for longer dealt a hefty blow to markets, with the S&P 500 losing three percent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq more still.The dollar also cruised higher against its peers and was sitting around a two-year high against the euro.Asian markets all fell, with Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Mumbai, Taipei, Bangkok, Singapore, Wellington, Manila and Jakarta all well down.London was down at the start of trading Thursday, as were Paris and Frankfurt. Jack McIntyre, a portfolio manager at Brandywine Global, said the rate cut had already been priced in by markets but “when you include the forward guidance components, it was a hawkish cut”.”Stronger expected growth married with higher anticipated inflation — it’s no wonder the Fed reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2025.”The results of this meeting raise the question: if the market wasn’t expecting a rate cut today, would the Fed actually have delivered one? I suspect not. “The Fed has entered a new phase of monetary policy, the pause phase. The longer it persists, the more likely the markets will have to equally price a rate hike versus a rate cut. Policy uncertainty will make for more volatile financial markets in 2025.”The yen weakened to as much as 156.77 per dollar — from around 153.57 earlier in the day — after the Bank of Japan’s decision not to hike rates for a third time this year. The announcement did help the Nikkei 225 stock index pare earlier losses, though.While officials said in policy statement that “Japan’s economy has recovered moderately” and “is likely to keep growing”, they also pointed to risks ahead.These include “developments in overseas economic activity and prices, developments in commodity prices, and domestic firms’ wage- and price-setting behaviour”.Observers said there would be a renewed focus on the yen as it weakens, with the possibility that Japanese authorities could step in to support the currency if it weakens too far too quickly.SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes said “There’s an elevated risk that USDJPY could trend higher soon but could be met with a barrage of verbal intervention on quick moves or even increased odds of a more substantial rate hike from the Bank of Japan early in the New Year.”- Key figures around 0910 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.7 percent at 38,813.58 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.6 percent at 19,752.51 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.4 percent at 3,370.03 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 1.1 percent at 8.110,03Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0400 from $1.0365 Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2610 from $1.2581Dollar/yen: UP at 156.46 yen from 154.73 yen Euro/pound: UP at 82.43 pence from 82.38 penceWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.6 percent at $70.15 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.6 percent at $72.96 per barrelNew York – Dow: DOWN 2.6 percent at 42,326.87 (close)

Sony buys 10% of ‘Elden Ring’ owner for $320 mn

Japanese electronics titan Sony said Thursday it had paid more than $300 million for a 10 percent stake in the media conglomerate behind the smash-hit game ‘Elden Ring’.Kadokawa, which is known for producing anime and publishing books including manga comics, said last month that Sony had made an approach to the firm, sending the media firm’s stocks soaring.On Thursday they said in a joint statement they had signed a “strategic capital and business alliance agreement”.The new deal will see Sony pay 50 billion yen ($320 million) for 12 million new Kadokawa shares, making it the company’s biggest shareholder.The transfer to Sony, which has already held a stake in Kadokawa since 2021, is due to take effect on January 7.The move will expand Sony’s games and cartoons portfolio, after its 2021 purchase of Crunchyroll, a once semi-legal US-based sharing site that is now a streaming giant for Japanese anime.Kadokawa and Sony “historically have collaborated on various projects, and through this capital and business alliance, intend to further strengthen our collaboration to maximise both companies’ IP value globally”, the statement said. Kadokawa also owns Tokyo-based FromSoftware, the creator of the dark fantasy role-playing adventure game “Elden Ring”, which was developed with help from “Game of Thrones” author George R.R. Martin.Sony said last month that its net profit jumped in the second quarter thanks to stronger sales in gaming, music and imaging sensors. Its PlayStation 5 Pro console hit shelves in November, but its price tag — 799.99 euros ($847) in Europe — has raised eyebrows among gamers.