Asian markets extend rally after Fed cut

Asian equities extended gains Friday, tracking another Wall Street record after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and on the prospect of market-friendly policies from a Trump administration.Traders are also keenly awaiting the end of a week-long meeting of key Chinese officials who have been hammering out a major stimulus package for the world’s number two economy with an eye on the US election result.While there are concerns that another four years of Donald Trump could see a rise in tensions between Beijing and Washington, investors are optimistic that his plans to slash taxes and push through more deregulation will boost companies’ bottom lines.There are also worries that the Republican’s policies could stoke inflation again, dealing a blow to the Fed’s long-running battle against prices.But central bank boss Jerome Powell added to the upbeat mood Thursday by insisting that the outcome of this week’s vote would have no impact on policymakers’ decision-making, adding that they would make their decisions based on data.After the policy board cut rates 25 basis points to 4.50-4.75 percent, as expected following September’s 50-point reduction, Powell said: “We don’t guess, we don’t speculate, and we don’t assume.”The Fed’s post-meeting statement said that “labour market conditions have generally eased” since earlier in the year and noted progress in bringing inflation down to its two percent target. Traders are now trying to ascertain the outlook for another cut in December.”With Powell squarely focused on labour, the combination of an inflation rate now in the realm of the Fed’s target means it can easily justify further cuts,” said Robert Tipp and Tom Porcelli at PGIM Fixed Income.”Although uncertainty abounds, the Fed’s year-end 2025 forecast for a Fed funds rate of 3.5 percent is still a useful starting point for where this cycle is going.”On Wall Street, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied again to hit fresh records, helped by strong performances by tech titans Apple, Google parent Alphabet and Facebook’s Meta.Asia took up the baton in early trade, with Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Taipei, Wellington and Jakarta all higher heading into the weekend.On currency markets, the dollar edged up slightly against the yen after dropping in reaction to the Fed cut.Investors are eyeing the outcome of the week-long gathering in Beijing of officials working to hash out a stimulus to kickstart China’s economy.Economists expect lawmakers to approve hundreds of billions of dollars in extra budget, with a lot of focus on helping indebted local governments as well as cash for banks, aimed at writing off non-performing loans over the past four years.The meeting comes amid uncertainty about the outlook for China after the election of Trump, who warned during his campaign that he would hit imports from the country with huge tariffs of up to 60 percent.”On balance, it is likely that Trump’s electoral victory presents additional downward pressure to China’s growth in the next few years (depending on various policy responses in both the US and China),” said National Australia Bank’s Gerard Burg.However, Michael Hewson at MCH Market Insights, added: “There is a sense of déjà vu with respect to Donald Trump winning the US presidential election, both politically as well as from a market point of view.”On the one hand we have some serious hand-wringing going on as some parts of the political spectrum go into a collective pearl-clutching meltdown at the prospect of four years of unfettered Trumpism.”As far as the markets are concerned the response has been more tempered to the one we observed eight years ago, when the volatility was much more pronounced.”- Key figures around 0230 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.3 percent at 39,515.36 (break)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.6 percent at 21,084.10Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.6 percent at 3,490.75Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0789 from $1.0801 on ThursdayPound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2975 from $1.2985Dollar/yen: UP at 153.00 yen from 152.92 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 83.15 pence from 83.18 penceWest Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.5 percent at $72.00 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.4 percent at $75.35 per barrelNew York – Dow: FLAT at 43,729.34 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.3 percent at 8,140.74 (close)

Sacred cow: coal-hungry India eyes bioenergy to cut carbon

Venerated as incarnations of Hindu deities, India’s sacred cows are also being touted as agents of energy transition by a government determined to promote biogas production to cut its dependence on coal.It is an understatement to say that Nakul Kumar Sardana is proud of his new plant at Barsana, in India’s northern Uttar Pradesh state.Firstly, says the vice-president of a biomass joint venture between India’s Adani Group and France’s TotalEnergies, because it occupies “one of the holiest sites in the world”.A four-hour drive south of the smog-filled capital New Delhi, among fields bristling with brickyard smokestacks, the small town of Barsana welcomes pilgrims who come to honour the Hindu goddess Radha.But Sardana is also proud because his methanisation plant that opened in March is the “most technologically advanced and the largest biogas facility” in India.It was built in Barsana to be as close as possible to its raw fuel — cattle dung and harvest stubble.”This region is home to a million cows,” he said. “Their dung has been used as fuel for centuries in cooking”.Cows have been blamed for contributing to global warming because they produce methane — a powerful greenhouse gas — in their manure or when they belch.But in this case, the region is finding a creative use for the waste produced by the cattle, which are used for their milk. Eating them is taboo for many Hindus. Stalks left behind after the rice harvest — that would otherwise be burned — join the slurry.”Farmers are traditionally burning them, creating smog and pollution”, he added.”In using natural waste, we are not only producing compressed biogas, but also high-quality organic fertiliser.”Long lines of tractors dump dung and straw in the factory’s tanks, from which 10 tonnes of gas and 92 tonnes of fertiliser are produced each day.- ‘Convert waste’ -In its endless quest for power to fuel its economic growth, the world’s most populous nation — and third-largest fossil fuel polluter —  has pushed biogas to achieve a much-promised transition to carbon neutrality by 2070.In 2018, the government set itself an ambitious goal of building 5,000 biogas plants in six years.But despite generous subsidies and the introduction of a buyback guarantee, the project attracted little initial interest — until the government forced the hand of producers. From April 2025, at least one percent of liquid gas fuelling both vehicles and for domestic use must be biogas — rising to five percent by 2028.That prompted a response from key players, starting with billionaires Mukesh Ambani and Gautam Adani — both close to Prime Minister Narendra Modi — eying lucrative public contracts.Ambani promised his Reliance group would build 55 biogas plants by the end of 2025 to convert “food producers to energy producers” and generate 30,000 jobs.His rival Adani plans to invest around $200 million in the sector in the next three to five years.”The government is pushing to convert waste for the wealth of the country,” said Suresh Manglani, CEO of Adani Total Gas.The International Energy Agency (IEA) says both China and India are leading global growth in bioenergy, seen as one solution to mitigate global heating.Even though biofuel remains more expensive than conventional gas, Indian production is expected to grow by 88 percent by 2030, it predicts.Biogas is considered a clean energy because the waste used to produce it is completely natural, said Suneel Pandey of The Energy and Resources Institute.It is “a sustainable solution to make wealth from waste,” he told AFP.- ‘Potential is huge’ -But the contribution of biogas to India’s transition away from heavily polluting coal — currently fuelling nearly 70 percent of electricity — will be relatively small.India plans to more than double the share of gas in its energy mix — from six to 15 percent by 2030.But the bulk of that will be liquefied natural gas (LNG), with Adani and TotalEnergies opening an LNG port on India’s eastern coast at Dhamra.Burning gas to produce electricity also releases damaging emissions, although less than coal and oil.Total argues its backing of biogas is more about environmental responsibility than commercial opportunity.”Biogas goes way beyond figures and business plans,” said Sangkaran Ratnam, TotalEnergies chairman and managing director for India.”It has also a tremendously positive knock-on effect on the rural communities in terms of jobs, in terms of care for the environment, and alternative forms of income.” Tejpreet Chopra, head of renewable energy company Bharat Light and Power, said the biogas market is “small in the big picture of things” but the “potential is huge”.But the investments required are vast. The Barsana plant cost $25 million, while the price of biogas remains uncompetitive: $14 per cubic metre, compared to $6 for LNG.Yet Sardana remains more convinced than ever that biogas is key.”We will learn the nuts and bolts of it and improve all processes,” he said. “We stop wasting energy, we create rural jobs, and we are contributing to a more sustainable environment.”

Cafe in Libya champions recycling and sustainabilityFri, 08 Nov 2024 02:24:34 GMT

In Libya’s capital, a cafe’s sleek exterior gives little hint of the vibrant space inside, built entirely from recycled materials to promote sustainability in a country recovering from years of war.Lamma, which means “gathering” or “hangout” in Arabic, has become a cultural hub for locals and other visitors, featuring an art gallery that showcases Libyan …

Cafe in Libya champions recycling and sustainabilityFri, 08 Nov 2024 02:24:34 GMT Read More »

US Fed makes quarter point cut as Powell insists he would not quit

The US Federal Reserve shrugged off concerns about the economic impact of Donald Trump’s election victory and moved ahead with a quarter point cut Thursday.   The Fed sits just a short walk from the White House, where Democratic President Joe Biden will in January hand back the keys to Trump following the Republican’s election win.But as expected, policymakers did their best to ignore the political drama playing out up the road, voting unanimously to trim interest rates by 25 basis points to between 4.50 and 4.75 percent, according to a Fed statement.”In the near term, the election will have no effects on our policy decisions,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the rate cut was announced, noting there was still uncertainty about what President-elect Trump’s actual economic agenda would be.”We don’t guess, we don’t speculate, and we don’t assume,” he said. Powell also insisted he would not resign if asked to leave early by the president-elect, adding that firing any of the other leaders among the Fed’s seven governors was “not permitted under the law.”The US central bank’s rate decision should help ease the costs of mortgages and other loans — welcome news for consumers, who had widely cited the cost of living as a top concern ahead of Tuesday’s vote. But the cost of borrowing will also depend on how financial markets think a Trump victory will impact the economy over the longer term, and where the Fed’s interest rates will need to settle to ensure inflation remains under control.Powell “stayed clear of commenting on the election outcome,” Nationwide chief economist Kathy Bostjancic told AFP on Thursday. “But I do think as we get into 2025 they are going to have to consider that.”- ‘Economy looks quite resilient’ -Polls and surveys indicate that Trump’s victory was aided by unhappiness over a post-pandemic surge in US inflation — which saw consumer prices rise more than 20 percent.Thursday’s decision adds to a previous rate cut in September, when the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a larger half point decrease, and penciled in additional rate reductions this year.The Fed’s favored inflation gauge has since eased to 2.1 percent in September, while economic growth has remained robust.The labor market has also stayed strong overall, despite a sharp hiring slowdown last month attributed in large part to adverse weather conditions and a labor strike.”Generally speaking, the US economy looks quite resilient, and the labor market still looks very good,” Jim Bullard, the long-serving former St Louis Fed president, told AFP in an interview ahead of Election Day.”While the December meeting will depend on the data over the next six weeks, the tone from Powell today made us marginally more confident in our call for another 25bp (basis point) cut then,” JP Morgan’s chief US economist, Michael Feroli, wrote in a note to clients on Thursday.  – Fiscal discipline ‘broken down’ -With a Trump victory assured, a lot still depends on whether Republicans can hold onto the House of Representatives, as they appear on track to do — giving them a “Red Sweep” of both houses of Congress along with the White House.”Markets tend to like divided government as a way to control spending and keep deficits down,” said Bullard, who is now dean of the Daniels School of Business at Purdue University.”What’s distressing to an economist like me is that, really, fiscal discipline has broken down for both political parties,” he said.Trump’s victory also raises questions about the independence of the Fed. The president-elect has repeatedly accused Powell — whom he first appointed to run the US central bank — of working to favor the Democrats, and has suggested he would look to replace him once his term expires in 2026. Republicans are now in control of the US Senate, which votes on nominations to the Fed, giving Trump significant control over who the next head of the US central bank will be. Trump has also said he would like “at least” a say over setting the Fed’s interest rate — something that runs against the bank’s dual mandate to act independently of Congress and the White House to tackle inflation and unemployment.

Global stocks mostly rise as Fed, Bank of England cut rates

Global stocks mostly rose Thursday, with US indices hitting fresh records as a Federal Reserve interest rate cut extended a post-election rally.While the Dow finished flat, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumped to new all-time highs as the Fed shrugged off concerns about the impact of Donald Trump’s election victory and moved ahead with a quarter point interest rate cut.The central bank voted unanimously to reduce interest rates by 25 basis points to between 4.50 and 4.75 percent.Markets were cheered by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s tone, which kept the door open to further interest rate cuts.”Of course, there’s going to be a debate about the pace of rate cuts, but policy makers and chair Powell mentioned that they continue to think that policy is restrictive,” said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones.All three major indices had hit all-time highs on Wednesday as markets greeted Trump’s election win with the hope that tax cuts and the scaling back of regulation would offset the hit from higher tariffs.Analysts have cautioned that aggressive growth-oriented policies could reignite inflation.But Powell noted there was still uncertainty about what Trump’s actual economic agenda would be.”We don’t guess, we don’t speculate, and we don’t assume,” he said at a news conference.Large tech companies were big winners, with Apple, Google parent Alphabet and Facebook parent Meta all up more than two percent.But banking shares pulled back after a torrid session on Wednesday. Bank of America dropped 1.4 percent, while JPMorgan Chase fell 4.3 percent.Earlier, the Bank of England announced a widely expected 25-basis-point cut, its second reduction since August, as inflation in Britain fell below its target rate.  Sweden’s central bank also dropped borrowing costs by 50 basis points, its biggest reduction in a decade, while Norway made no change.Frankfurt stocks rose by 1.7 percent as the conservative opposition heaped pressure on German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s crisis-hit government to allow for speedy elections by calling a confidence vote next week rather than in 2025.Christian Democrats chief Friedrich Merz made the demand after Scholz’s three-party coalition imploded Wednesday over the 2025 budget and fiscal policy.In Asia on Thursday, Chinese stocks rallied as investors brushed off concerns that China in particular would be the target of Trump’s tariffs.- Key figures around 2130 GMT -New York – Dow: FLAT at 43,729.34 (close)New York – S&P 500: UP 0.7 percent at 5,973.10 (close)New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 1.5 percent at 19,269.46 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.3 percent at 8,140.74 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.8 percent at 7,425.60 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: UP 1.7 percent at 19,362.52 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.3 percent at 39,381.41 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 2.0 percent at 20,953.34 (close)Shanghai – Composite: UP 2.6 percent at 3,470.66 (close)Euro/dollar: UP at $1.0801 from $1.0729 on WednesdayPound/dollar: UP at $1.2985 from $1.2879Dollar/yen: DOWN at 152.92 yen from 154.63 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 83.18 pence from 83.31 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.9 percent at $72.36 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 1.0 percent at $75.63 per barrelburs-jmb/sst

Fonction publique: plusieurs syndicats appellent à la grève et à la mobilisation après leur réunion avec Kasbarian

Deux des principaux syndicats de fonctionnaires, FO et la CGT, ont appelé jeudi à la “grève” après l’échec d’une réunion avec le ministre de la Fonction publique, Guillaume Kasbarian, et une semaine de tensions consécutive aux annonces du gouvernement de nouvelles économies pour la fonction publique, à hauteur de 1,2 milliard d’euros.”On va prendre le jeu du ministre au mot: trois jours de carence, trois jours de grève”, a lancé Christian Grolier, secrétaire général de l’UIAFP-FO tandis que Sylviane Brousse, la coordinatrice de la CGT Fonction publique, a affirmé que “la CGT va s’inscrire dans un mouvement de grève”.Une semaine après des annonces qui ont mis le feu aux poudres, cette réunion avec les huit syndicats représentatifs qui étaient reçus collectivement pour la première fois par le ministre n’a manifestement pas permis de sortir de l’impasse. Plusieurs représentants ont quitté le ministère avant la fin de la réunion, et la moitié des organisations ont appelé à construire des “mobilisations” dont les modalités devraient figurer au menu d’une nouvelle réunion de l’intersyndicale mardi à 16h. Les deux principales organisations, la CGT et FO, ont même appelé à des mouvements de “grèves” évoquant l’hypothèse de mobilisations début décembre. De son côté, Guillaume Kasbarian a insisté auprès de l’AFP sur sa “volonté de maintenir un dialogue constant et franc avec les organisations syndicales” afin “d’avancer de manière constructive sur des sujets essentiels pour les agents et l’avenir de la fonction publique”.   Les économies de 1,2 milliard d’euros font partie d’un plan d’économies additionnelles d’un total de 5 milliards d’euros dévoilées le 27 octobre par le gouvernement dans le cadre d’un budget en cours d’examen à l’Assemblée. Un premier débat est prévu mardi en commission des Finances, où les députés macronistes, de droite et du Rassemblement national (RN), ont déposé des amendements pour réduire la prise en charge des arrêts maladie des fonctionnaires.Elles ont été annoncées dans un contexte budgétaire tendu, alors que le déficit public de la France va déraper à 6,1% du PIB en 2024, selon le projet de loi de finances de fin de gestion présenté en Conseil des ministres mercredi. Guillaume Kasbarian avait défendu les deux mesures sur l’allongement du délai de carence et la réduction de l’indemnisation des congés maladies par sa volonté d’un “alignement” entre secteurs public et privé. “Difficiles mais assumées”, selon son entourage, ces mesures ont “matérialisé le mépris que ressentent les agents publiques”, a jugé le secrétaire général de la FSU Benoît Teste, à la sortie de la réunion jeudi, estimant que le ministre allait “au devant d’un conflit d’un très lourd”.  – “Douche froide” -Interrogé sur sa participation à la mobilisation annoncée: “La CFDT va mettre les choses dans l’ordre, (…)”, a tempéré Mylène Jacquot, secrétaire générale de l’UFFA-CFDT jeudi.”On va attendre que le ministre nous transmette, comme il en a pris l’engagement des éléments de réponse écrits” dans les 24 heures, “et puis on écoutera nos équipes” pour trancher une éventuelle participation a-t-elle poursuivi. Les syndicats ont également regretté en chÅ“ur la “confirmation” du gel du point d’indice pour 2025. L’une des seules notes positives est que “le ministre renonce complètement à la suppression des catégories”, a assuré la secrétaire générale de l’UFFA-CFDT Mylène Jacquot, tout comme d’autres représentants syndicaux. Cette disposition figurait dans le projet de loi Guerini – qui n’avait pas pu être présenté au Parlement avant la dissolution de l’Assemblée nationale le 9 juin. Si celui-ci contient “des mesures parfois éruptives”, a estimé récemment son successeur, il avait toutefois dit vouloir poursuivre cette “ambition réformatrice”.Certaines mesures envisageaient notamment de développer la rémunération au mérite, de faciliter les licenciements dans certains cas, et donc de supprimer les catégories historiques de fonctionnaires (A, B et C). La réunion au ministère se tient alors que le gouvernement envisage de supprimer quelque 2.200 postes de fonctionnaires dans son projet de budget, actuellement examiné par l’Assemblée nationale, afin de réduire le déficit public à 5% en 2025. 

Clashes in Mozambique after opposition leader calls for protestThu, 07 Nov 2024 18:37:09 GMT

Police in Mozambique backed up by troops fired tear gas and used dogs to disperse protesters in the capital Maputo Thursday, after the opposition called for demonstrations against contested election results.The southern African nation has been rocked by violence since the October 9 vote won by the Frelimo party, which has been in power for …

Clashes in Mozambique after opposition leader calls for protestThu, 07 Nov 2024 18:37:09 GMT Read More »

“C’est aberrant”: Marine Tondelier (EELV) réclame de déstocker Stocamine

La secrétaire nationale des écologistes, Marine Tondelier, a réclamé vendredi à Wittelsheim (Haut-Rhin), sur le site de Stocamine, le déstockage des 42.000 tonnes de déchets toxiques enfouies dans cette ancienne mine, alertant sur “l’inéluctable” pollution future de la nappe phréatique d’Alsace.”Stocker ces déchets ce n’est pas pareil que les enfouir. Les enfouir dans un endroit avec une faille sismique c’est encore différent. Les enfouir dans un endroit avec une faille sismique, après un incendie, et avec le risque inéluctable de contaminer la plus grande nappe phréatique d’Europe, dont dépend l’approvisionnement en eau de sept à 10 millions de personnes, ça devient complètement aberrant”, a clamé Marine Tondelier devant les chevalements de l’ancienne mine Joseph Else.Elle a été accueillie sur place par plusieurs dizaines de militants et d’habitants, et par les députés alsaciens Sandra Régol (EELV), Emmanuel Fernandes (LFI) et Hubert Ott (Modem). Tous réclament, pour certains depuis plus de 20 ans, le retrait de ces 42.000 tonnes de déchets toxiques (amiante, mercure, arsenic…) réputés ininflammables, enfouis à 550 mètres de profondeur, et qui n’ont plus bougé depuis l’incendie d’une des chambres de stockage en 2002.Fin octobre, dans le cadre du débat sur le budget 2025 de l’Etat au Parlement, ces trois députés sont parvenus à faire adopter, à la commission des Finances de l’Assemblée nationale, un amendement prévoyant de réallouer au retrait des déchets de la mine les 31 millions d’euros prévus pour faire couler une barrière de béton entre ces déchets et la nappe phréatique. Cet amendement n’entrera cependant en vigueur que s’il est adopté en séance plénière.”Le gouvernement doit entendre la volonté majoritaire”, a déclaré Emmanuel Fernandes, “celle qui s’est exprimée lors de l’enquête publique puisque 98% de la population est contre l’enfouissement, puis lors des législatives et enfin en commission des Finances.”Hubert Ott a lui appelé les autres députés alsaciens à rejoindre la mobilisation en faveur du déstockage. “Tant que la problématique n’évolue pas, il faut toujours être sur la brèche”, a-t-il insisté, rappelant que le ministre de l’Enseignement supérieur, Patrick Hetzel, s’était prononcé en faveur du déstockage avant son arrivée au gouvernement.”On sait bien que le déstockage va coûter cher”, a conclu Marine Tondelier. “Mais le coût de l’inaction est toujours beaucoup plus élevé”, a-t-elle martelé, soulignant que la pollution de la nappe “va nuire à l’attractivité du territoire, à l’agriculture, à l’économie, à la vie”.Philippe Aullen, membre de la commission de suivi du site de Stocamine, a révélé lors de cette manifestation que les agents de l’Oclaesp (Office central de lutte contre les atteintes à l’environnement et à la santé publique), chargés de l’enquête ouverte par le pole environnement du parquet de Strasbourg sur la nature des déchets stockés en profondeur, ne sont finalement jamais descendus dans la mine, pour des “raisons de sécurité”, et n’ont donc jamais été en mesure d’inspecter les déchets. L’enquête avait finalement été classée sans suite en 2023.