Banks, beaches and boom times: four facts about MauritiusThu, 07 Nov 2024 08:18:16 GMT

Mauritius, one of Africa’s richest countries and a stable democracy in a sometimes volatile neighbourhood, is holding a legislative election on Sunday.Here are some facts about the Indian Ocean island nation:- Beacon of stability – Mauritius prides itself as a secure and prosperous nation free of the social and political upheaval roiling some of its African …

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Bruno Le Maire: le déficit public à 6,1% du PIB en 2024 est “le choix du gouvernement actuel”

L’ancien ministre de l’Economie et des Finances, Bruno Le Maire, a estimé jeudi que le dérapage du déficit public de la France à 6,1% du PIB en 2024 était “le choix du gouvernement actuel”, réfutant toute “faute” ou “dissimulation” sur la situation des comptes publics.”Quand on me dit que le déficit en 2024 sera à 6,1%, c’est le choix du gouvernement actuel. Et j’apporterai toutes les preuves que nous pourrions avoir en 2024, avec des mesures de redressement plus rigoureuses, un déficit autour de 5,5%. Je conteste donc formellement ce chiffre de 6,1%”, a déclaré M. Le Maire, s’expliquant devant la commission des Finances du Sénat dans le cadre d’une mission d’information sur la dérive des finances publiques. Selon le projet de loi de finances de fin de gestion présenté mercredi en Conseil des ministre, le déficit public va déraper à 6,1% du PIB en 2024. Il était prévu à 4,4% dans le projet de loi de finances initiale présenté à l’automne 2023, puis relevé à 5,1% au printemps par le gouvernement précédent, dans lequel M. Le Maire a dirigé Bercy durant plus de sept ans. “Il n’y a eu ni faute, ni dissimulation, ni volonté de tromperie. Il y a eu fondamentalement une grave erreur technique d’évaluation des recettes dont nous payons le prix”, a développé l’ex-grand argentier, parti enseigner à Lausanne. Les recettes avaient été évaluées initialement 41,5 milliards d’euros supérieures à ce qu’elles seront en réalité en 2024, tandis que la croissance a été révisée en baisse de 1,4%, soit à 1,1%.  M. Le Maire a insisté sur le fait que “jamais, à aucun moment, ni le cabinet, ni a fortiori le ministre ne disent un mot sur l’évaluation des recettes”, qui est un exercice “technique”. Il y a “une étanchéité totale”, a-t-il complété. “Le ministre ne se prononce pas. Le politique ne se prononce pas, et d’ailleurs, c’est peut-être une bonne chose, parce que si le politique commençait à se mêler de l’évaluation des recettes, on crierait à la manipulation.” Il a par ailleurs souligné que le gouvernement précédent avait massivement dépensé pour soutenir ménages et entreprises durant les crises successives, avant d’engager des mesures d’économies face à l’accroissement de la dette publique française. L’ex-ministre a dit avoir même “résisté” à quelque 400 milliards de dépenses supplémentaires qui étaient alors réclamées par des parlementaires de tous bords.

Mozambique deploys soldiers ahead of planned protestsThu, 07 Nov 2024 08:04:41 GMT

Soldiers and police were patrolling Mozambique’s capital Maputo early Thursday ahead of a planned protest against election results seen by the opposition as fraudulent, AFP reporters said.The southern African nation has been rocked by violence since an October 9 vote won by the Frelimo party, which has been in power for almost 50 years. The city …

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Most stocks rise, bitcoin hits record as traders weigh Trump 2.0

Asian equities mostly rose Thursday, while the dollar held gains and bitcoin hit a fresh record as markets try to ascertain the consequences of a second Donald Trump presidency after he pledged to cut taxes and ramp up tariffs with an eye on China.The Trump Trade went into overdrive Wednesday as it emerged the tycoon would return to the White House after beating Democrat Kamala Harris, while his Republican Party gained control of the Senate and looked set to hold the House of Representatives.The decisive win is expected to pave the way for a series of business-friendly measures such as tax cuts and deregulation, though analysts warn that such moves — along with the pledge to impose duties on imports — could relight inflation.The prospect of higher inflationary pressure could complicate matters for Federal Reserve boss Jerome Powell as he tries to guide the economy to a soft landing while bringing prices under control. The central bank is expected to announce a 25-basis-point interest rate reduction on Thursday, but there are now questions over the chances of another next month, and the outlook for the new year.”Those discussions might have to wait (until) a subsequent meeting and encompass four issues,” said National Australia Bank’s Tapas Strickland.”Does the election result lead to meaningful changes for economic demand or inflation that warrant a different policy path?; have jitters about job-market deterioration been overstated?; where is inflation headed?; and what is the right level for rates, anyway?”Still, economists at Citi wrote in a client note ahead of Election Day: “The December rate cut decision will depend on labor market data and we expect a further softening to lead to a 50-basis-point rate cut.”With Trump expected to once again set his sights on trade, observers said that will be a key issue for Asian governments, and particularly China after Washington and Beijing butted heads on numerous occasions during his first term.”The primary concern will be around tariffs and trade restrictions, which will have some impact but have been somewhat factored in,” said Joshua Crabb and Colin Graham at asset manager Robeco.”The offset to this will likely be a more aggressive policy response in Asia, both fiscally and monetarily. “The first indication of this will be stimulus in China, with the (National People’s Congress) scheduled to finalise on 8 November.”Traders are awaiting the end on Friday of a Chinese government meeting to hammer out a stimulus for the world’s number two economy, with expectations for hundreds of billions of dollars to help local authorities and support for banks to boost lending.Hopes for a pick-up in growth were boosted Thursday by data showing a forecast-busting jump in exports for October — hitting a more than two-year high — that offset more below-par import figures.The news comes after Beijing started unveiling a raft of support measures in September aimed at bringing the post-Covid economic malaise to an end.After a mixed day on Wednesday, Asian stock investors fought to push markets up.The latest readings out of China and hopes for more policy support pushed Shanghai more than two percent higher and Hong Kong more than one percent higher.There were also gains in Sydney, Singapore, Seoul, Taipei and Bangkok.Tokyo pared morning losses to end slightly lower, with Wellington, Manila, Mumbai and Jakarta also off.The broad gains came after a blockbuster day on Wall Street, where all three main indexes hit new highs, led by a 3.6 percent spike in the Dow.On currency markets, the dollar held its gains against its peers after surging on the back of Trump’s victory as rate cut bets are pared back and Treasury yields rise.Bitcoin touched a new high just above $76,475 on optimism about the outlook for cryptocurrencies after the president-elect said on the campaign trail that he would make the United States the “bitcoin and cryptocurrency capital of the world”.- Key figures around 0710 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.3 percent at 39,381.41 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.7 percent at 20,894.36Shanghai – Composite: UP 2.6 percent at 3,470.66 (close)Dollar/yen: DOWN at 154.07 yen from 154.62 yen on WednesdayEuro/dollar: UP at $1.0747 from $1.0732Pound/dollar: UP at $1.2932 from $1.2880Euro/pound: DOWN at 83.10 pence from 83.30 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.3 percent at $71.91 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.4 percent at $74.24 per barrelNew York – Dow: UP 3.6 percent at 43,729.93 (close)London – FTSE 100: DOWN 0.1 percent at 8,166.68 (close)