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Stock markets mostly rose while gold reached new highs on Tuesday, with expectations of US rate cuts to bolster the world’s biggest economy offsetting political turbulence in Japan and France. A steep downward revision to US job creation cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve would begin lowering its benchmark rate next week in a bid to boost growth.US employment growth is likely to be revised down by 911,000 for the 12 months ending in March, official data showed.After last month’s big miss on US jobs creation, “these revisions suggest that jobs momentum is being lost from an even weaker position than originally thought,” said analysts at ING.Investors are now looking to consumer inflation data coming Thursday, since a hot reading could keep the Fed from cutting further as it looks to curb price increases.US stock indices were little changed but remained near record highs reached in recent weeks, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq closing at a record on Monday.In Asia, Tokyo’s Nikkei briefly spiked to a new record before ending lower amid hopes that whoever replaces Shigeru Ishiba as prime minister will unveil a fresh round of economic stimulus.Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party will pick its new leader on October 4 to replace Ishiba, who resigned at the weekend after huge election setbacks.In Paris, the CAC 40 index moved higher after French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou submitted his resignation to President Emmanuel Macron in the wake of his government’s ousting.Bayrou on Monday suffered a crushing loss in a confidence vote he called in parliament, seeking support for more than 40 billion euros ($47 billion) in budget cuts to rein in France’s debt.France’s borrowing costs briefly exceeded those of traditional European debt-laggard Italy on Tuesday, ahead of an update on the country’s credit rating from Fitch on Friday. However, “for now, the market impact seems limited”, said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, a senior analyst at Swissquote Bank.Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank, agreed that “a genuine financial crisis with a self-reinforcing doom loop (higher yields = bigger deficits = even higher yields…) remains quite unlikely for the time being”. Gold, an investment haven in uncertain times, extended its record run, hitting an all-time high of over $3,680 an ounce. – Mining merger -On the corporate front, British mining group Anglo American and its Canadian peer Teck Resources announced plans for a multi-billion-dollar merger, creating a behemoth of copper production and of other critical minerals.Anglo American shares ended nine percent higher in London, while Teck’s stock was up 14 percent on the New York Stock Exchange. Shares in rival miners jumped on their coattails.Indonesian stocks and the rupiah tumbled after President Prabowo Subianto removed Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati in a cabinet reshuffle following fatal anti-government protests across the country.- Key figures at around 1550 GMT -New York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 45,586.51 pointsNew York – S&P 500: FLAT at 6,495.58New York – Nasdaq: FLAT at 21,795.77London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 9,242.53 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.2 percent at 7,749.39 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.4 percent at 23,718.45 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 43,459.29 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.2 percent at 25,938.13 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.5 percent at 3,807.29 (close)Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1725 from $1.1760 on MondayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3534 from $1.3549 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 147.23 from 147.43 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.63 pence from 86.80 penceBrent North Sea Crude: UP 1.1 percent at $66.75 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: UP 1.2 percent at $62.99 per barrelburs-bcp/js/sbk

Stock markets mostly rose while gold hit a record high on Tuesday, with expectations of US rate cuts to bolster the world’s biggest economy outweighing political shakeups in Japan and France. Tokyo’s Nikkei briefly spiked to a new record before ending lower amid hopes that whoever replaces Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will unveil a fresh round of economic stimulus.Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party will pick its new leader on October 4, replacing Ishiba, who resigned at the weekend after huge election setbacks.In Paris, the CAC 40 index moved higher after Prime Minister Francois Bayrou submitted his resignation to President Emmanuel Macron after parliament ousted his government.Bayrou on Monday suffered a crushing loss in a confidence vote he called, seeking support for over 40 billion euros ($47 billion) in budget cuts to rein in France’s debt.France’s borrowing costs briefly exceeded those of traditional European debt-laggard Italy on Tuesday, ahead of an update on the country’s credit rating from Fitch on Friday. However, with Paris stocks rising, “for now, the market impact seems limited”, said Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank.For Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg bank, “a genuine financial crisis with a self-reinforcing doom loop (higher yields = bigger deficits = even higher yields…) remains quite unlikely for the time being”. Gold, an investment haven in uncertain times, extended its record run, hitting an all-time high of $3,694 an ounce. The Nasdaq hit a record high on Monday, “helped by expectations of lower Fed rates”, Ozkardeskaya said.Last month’s big miss on US jobs creation raised concerns about the strength of the world’s top economy but it has stoked bets that the US Federal Reserve will loosen monetary policy, even as inflation remains stubbornly above its target.Investors are awaiting the release of fresh data on prices this week to get a better idea about the Fed’s next move, with Bloomberg reporting that expectations are for three quarter-point reductions before the end of the year.- Mining merger -On the corporate front, British mining group Anglo American and its Canadian peer Teck Resources announced plans for a multi-billion-dollar merger, creating a champion of copper production and other critical minerals.Anglo American shares jumped 10 percent in London deals on Tuesday, while Teck’s stock surged over 16 percent in early trading on the New York Stock Exchange. Shares in rival miners jumped on their coattails.Indonesian stocks and the rupiah tumbled after President Prabowo Subianto removed Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati in a cabinet reshuffle following fatal anti-government protests across the country.- Key figures at around 1340 GMT -New York – Dow: UP 0.1 percent at 45,563.48 pointsNew York – S&P 500: UP 0.1 percent at 6,504.43New York – Nasdaq: UP 0.2 percent at 21,836.85London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 9,236.73Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.2 percent at 7,752.99Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.5 percent at 23,680.39Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 43,459.29 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.2 percent at 25,938.13 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.5 percent at 3,807.29 (close)Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1749 from $1.1760 on MondayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3563 from $1.3549 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 146.80 from 147.43 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.44 pence from 86.80 penceBrent North Sea Crude: UP 1.5 percent at $67.03 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: UP 1.5 percent at $63.20 per barrelburs-bcp/js

Stock markets mostly rose and gold hit a record high Tuesday as traders balanced expectations of cuts to US interest rates with political shakeups in Japan and France. Tokyo’s Nikkei briefly spiked to a new record but ended down as political upheaval in Japan offset hopes that whoever replaces Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will unveil a fresh round of economic stimulus.Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party will pick its new leader on October 4, replacing Ishiba, who resigned at the weekend after huge election setbacks.On Tuesday, the Paris CAC 40 made solid gains in midday deals. French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou was Tuesday to submit his resignation to President Emmanuel Macron after parliament ousted the government.Bayrou on Monday suffered a crushing loss in a confidence vote he had himself called.France’s borrowing costs exceeded those of traditional European debt-laggard Italy Tuesday, while safe haven bet gold extended its record run higher.The precious metal hit an all-time high $3,659.36 an ounce.However, with Paris stocks rising, “for now, the market impact seems limited”, noted Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank. The Nasdaq hit a record high Monday, “helped by expectations of lower Fed rates”, she added.Last month’s big miss on US jobs creation raised concerns about the strength of the world’s top economy, but it has stoked bets that the Federal Reserve will loosen monetary policy, even as inflation remains stubbornly above its target.Investors are awaiting the release of fresh data on prices this week to get a better idea about the Fed’s next move, with Bloomberg reporting that expectations are for three quarter-point reductions before the end of the year.- Mining merger -On the corporate front, the mining sector was in focus after British group Anglo American and Canadian peer Teck Resources announced plans for a multi-billion-dollar merger, creating a champion of copper production and other critical minerals.Anglo American shares surged more than 10 percent in London deals Tuesday, while Teck’s stock rallied in after-hours trading. Shares in rival miners jumped on their coattails.Indonesian stocks and the rupiah tumbled after President Prabowo Subianto removed Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati in a cabinet reshuffle following deadly anti-government protests across the country.- Key figures at around 1045 GMT -London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 9,242.52 pointsParis – CAC 40: UP 0.4 percent at 7,766.45Frankfurt – DAX: DOWN 0.3 percent at 23,730.50Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 43,459.29 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.2 percent at 25,938.13 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.5 percent at 3,807.29 (close)New York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 45,514.95 (close)Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1756 from $1.1760 on MondayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3578 from $1.3549 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 146.49 from 147.43 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.59 pence from 86.80 penceBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.6 percent at $66.39 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.6 percent at $62.63 per barrelburs-bcp/lth

Asian and European markets mostly rose Tuesday fuelled by optimism the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates this year, with gains led by a record high in Tokyo while gold also hit a fresh peak.Last month’s big miss on US jobs creation raised concerns about the strength of the world’s top economy, but it has stoked bets that the central bank will loosen monetary policy, even as inflation remains stubbornly above its target.Investors are awaiting the release of fresh data on prices this week to get a better idea about the Fed’s next move, with Bloomberg reporting that expectations are for three quarter-point reductions before the end of the year.Hopes for a move were boosted last month when Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled a dovish pivot in a speech to an annual gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.After a healthy day on Wall Street, where the Nasdaq chalked up another record, Asia was mixed and European markets advanced.Hong Kong, Seoul, Taipei, Manila, Mumbai and Bangkok rose with London, Paris and Frankfurt.Shanghai, Sydney, Singapore and Wellington slipped.Indonesian stocks and the rupiah tumbled after President Prabowo Subianto removed Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati in a cabinet reshuffle following deadly anti-government protests across the country.Gold hit a new high above $3,659.While the mood on trading floors is upbeat, IG markets analyst Fabien Yip offered a note of caution.”Market participants have recently responded favourably to economic weakness under the ‘bad news is good news’ paradigm, as indicators of economic deceleration could prompt accelerated Fed rate cuts,” she wrote in a commentary.”However, following (Friday’s) employment data release, investors are increasingly concerned that monetary policy easing may prove insufficient to address labour market deterioration.”Tokyo briefly spiked to a new record but ended down as political upheaval in Japan offset hopes that whoever replaces Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will unveil a fresh round of economic stimulus.”Investors are betting that the next leader from the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) could unleash a new wave of fiscal stimulus to bolster the economy,” said Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB MENA.”All eyes are on the upcoming LDP leadership race. The fiscal and monetary policy stances of the candidates will be critical in determining the future direction of both Japanese stocks and the yen.”Still, observers are keeping tabs on developments in the country after long-term yields on government bonds hit a record.Also in view this week is a European Central Bank policy decision as well as uncertainty in France after Prime Minister Francois Bayrou was ousted in a confidence vote, forcing President Emmanuel Macron to seek a replacement.French 10-year government bond yields jumped on the news.- Key figures at around 0810 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 43,459.29 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.2 percent at 25,938.13 (close)Shanghai – Composite: DOWN 0.5 percent at 3,807.29 (close)London – FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 9,246.23 Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1752 from $1.1760 on MondayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3567 from $1.3549 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 147.23 from 147.43 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.63 pence from 86.80 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 1.0 percent at $62.91 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 1.0 percent at $66.69 per barrelNew York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 45,514.95 (close)

Asian markets mostly rose Tuesday fuelled by optimism the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates this year, with gains led by a record high in Tokyo while gold also hit a fresh peak.Last month’s big miss on US jobs creation raised concerns about the strength of the world’s top economy, but it has stoked bets that the central bank will loosen monetary policy, even as inflation remains stubbornly above its target.Investors are awaiting the release of fresh data on prices this week to get a better idea about the Fed’s next move, with Bloomberg reporting that expectations are for three quarter-point reductions before the end of the year.Hopes for a move were boosted last month when Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled a dovish pivot in a speech to an annual gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.After a healthy day on Wall Street, where the Nasdaq chalked up another record, Asia started on a positive note.Hong Kong climbed more than one percent, with Shanghai, Seoul, Taipei and Manila also up.Sydney, Singapore and Wellington slipped.Indonesian stocks and the rupiah fell more than one percent after President Prabowo Subianto removed Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati in a cabinet reshuffle following deadly anti-government protests across the country.Gold hit a new high above $3,650.But while the mood on trading floors is upbeat, IG markets analyst Fabien Yip offered a note of caution.”Market participants have recently responded favourably to economic weakness under the ‘bad news is good news’ paradigm, as indicators of economic deceleration could prompt accelerated Fed rate cuts,” she wrote in a commentary.”However, following (Friday’s) employment data release, investors are increasingly concerned that monetary policy easing may prove insufficient to address labour market deterioration.”Tokyo spiked at a new record as political upheaval in Japan was offset by hopes that whoever replaces Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba will unveil a fresh round of economic stimulus.”Investors are betting that the next leader from the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) could unleash a new wave of fiscal stimulus to bolster the economy,” said Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB MENA.”All eyes are on the upcoming LDP leadership race. The fiscal and monetary policy stances of the candidates will be critical in determining the future direction of both Japanese stocks and the yen.”Still, observers are keeping tabs on developments in the country after long-term yields on government bonds hit a record.Also in view this week is a European Central bank policy decision as well as uncertainty in France after Prime Minister Francois Bayrou was ousted in a confidence vote, forcing President Emmanuel Macron to seek a replacement.- Key figures at around 0230 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.2 percent at 43,732.80 (break)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 1.2 percent at 25,941.87Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 3,830.42Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1776 from $1.1760 on MondayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3570 from $1.3549 Dollar/yen: DOWN at 147.24 from 147.43 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.78 pence from 86.80 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.4 percent at $62.51 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.4 percent at $66.31 per barrelNew York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 45,514.95 (close)London – FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 9,221.44 (close)

Global stock markets rose Monday, digesting more political upheaval in France and Japan as the tech-rich Nasdaq index finished at an all-time high.Oil prices advanced as traders bet a plan by OPEC + to boost output would result in less additional production than feared.The price of gold hit a new record high above $3,600 an ounce as the precious metal continues to benefit from its status as a safe haven investment.Meanwhile, US stocks pushed higher following positive sessions in Europe and Asia.”Political uncertainty is making waves on markets at the start of the week, but sentiment remains largely upbeat,” noted Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown stockbrokers.In France, President Emmanuel Macron was poised to accept the resignation of Prime Minister Francois Bayrou on Tuesday after his government was ejected in a confidence vote.Bayrou blindsided even his allies by calling a vote to end a months-long standoff over his austerity budget, which foresees almost 44 billion euros ($52 billion) of cost savings to reduce France’s debt pile.Still, major bourses in Europe climbed, as did the euro.Tokyo’s Nikkei stocks index closed up 1.5 percent, with Japanese exporters benefiting from a slide in the yen’s value.Japanese bond yields also climbed after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said Sunday he would step down after less than a year in power — during which he lost his majority in both houses of parliament — heralding uncertainty for the world’s fourth-largest economy.The European Central bank is expected to hold interest rates steady again this week with inflation under control and US tariff tensions easing.Markets are also eyeing US inflation data later this week amid expectations of rate relief from the Federal Reserve. Expectations that the Fed would soon cut rates grew after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s August 23 address at the central bank’s Jackson Hole gathering signaled a pivot.Powell had previously argued the Fed could keep rates unchanged in light of inflation that has lingered above the Fed’s long-term target level while the US economy chugged along.But the weakening of the jobs market has led more policymakers to argue that rates need to be cut rates so as to forestall further deterioration.”I think the Fed has locked itself into cutting rates in September,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research. The only outlying question based on future economic reports, he said, is “will they cut once, twice or three times this year?”- Key figures at around 2040 GMT -New York – Dow: UP 0.2 percent at 45,514.95 (close)New York – S&P 500: UP 0.2 percent at 6,495.15 (close)New York – Nasdaq Composite: UP 0.5 percent at 21,798.70 (close)London – FTSE 100: UP 0.1 percent at 9,221.44 (close)Paris – CAC 40: UP 0.8 percent at 7,734.84 (close)Frankfurt – DAX: UP 0.9 percent at 23,807.13 (close)Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.5 percent at 43,643.81 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.9 percent at 25,633.91 (close) Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,826.84 (close)Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1760 from $1.1717 on FridayPound/dollar: UP at $1.3549 from $1.3509 Dollar/yen: FLAT at 147.43 yen Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.80 pence from 86.73 penceBrent North Sea Crude: UP 0.8 percent at $66.02 per barrelWest Texas Intermediate: UP 0.6 percent at $62.26 per barrelburs-jmb/dw

Europe’s top car manufacturer Volkswagen presented a series of more affordable electric vehicles Monday as Chinese EV titan BYD said it would start producing a cut-price model on the continent. The duelling announcements at the closely-watched Munich auto show highlight the fierce battle shaping up between Europe’s traditional automakers and fast-growing Chinese rivals.VW — along with peers BMW and Mercedes-Benz from the long troubled German auto sector — are seeking to make up lost ground in the race for electric dominance.Volkswagen unveiled four small EV models from its namesake VW brand, as well as its Cupra and Skoda marques.With starting prices of around 25,000 euros ($29,000), lower than many current EVs made by European manufacturers, their commercial launch is set for next year. But at a press event at the IAA Mobility show, which runs the whole of this week, CEO Oliver Blume conceded that VW faced a tough fight. “The automotive industry, and especially the Volkswagen group, has never faced so many headwinds at the same time,” he said.And he conceded that the situation in China, where VW has lost market share to local rivals, was highly competitive. BYD “without a doubt is doing a great job there,” he said.- Resistance to EU ban -BYD meanwhile announced that its Dolphin Surf electric compact car, already on sale in Europe since May for around 20,000 euros, will be produced from the end of 2025 in its new Hungarian factory. “We are almost ready to build our cars in Europe, for Europe,” said the manufacturer’s executive vice president Stella Li. Building its cars in Hungary, an European Union country, should help the Chinese manufacturer avoid hefty EU tariffs the bloc has slapped on Chinese-made EVs over what Brussels says are unfair state subsidies. Germany’s top automakers have all suffered in recent times due to weak demand and fierce competition in key market China, where BYD and others have eroded their sales.They have struggled with the shift to EVs as demand has proven weaker in Europe than many had anticipated and prices remain too high for many motorists. Calls have meanwhile been growing for the EU to review a plan to end sales of new combustion engine vehicles by 2035 as part of efforts to tackle climate change.Stellantis, whose brands include Jeep and Fiat, as well as BMW and Mercedes have all expressed scepticism or outright opposition to the plan.  Volkswagen’s Blume added his voice to the criticism on Monday, saying that it was “unrealistic” to aim for “100% electric mobility” in a decade.”We need reality checks every year,” he said.

Asian markets rose on Monday, with Tokyo closing higher after Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s decision to resign pushed down the value of the yen.Investors were also digesting weak US jobs data, while crude prices climbed after eight key members of the OPEC+ alliance said they had agreed to again boost oil production.Tokyo’s Nikkei index closed up 1.5 percent, with Japanese exporters benefiting from a slide in the yen’s value — one dollar bought 147.82 yen in afternoon trading, up from 147.07 on Friday.Japanese bond yields also climbed after Ishiba said Sunday he would step down after less than a year in power, heralding fresh uncertainty for the world’s fourth-largest economy.”I don’t think we can say that the resignation of PM Ishiba is a complete surprise as it’s been mooted for some time but the timing of the announcement is certainly unexpected,” said Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone.”As for the market reaction, this obviously introduces significant downside risks for the (Japanese yen) and for long-end” Japanese government bonds (JGBs), he added.Last week, the yield on 30-year JGBs hit a record high, following rises in the United States and Europe on the back of concerns about political uncertainty and public finances. Potential candidates to lead Japan’s ruling party are “all likely to propose looser fiscal stances than Ishiba, hence further pressuring the long end of the curve, where demand for JGBs had already been waning quite significantly”, Brown said.Shanghai closed 0.4 percent higher. Hong Kong was up 0.8 percent, Taipei gained 0.2 percent and Seoul rose 0.5 percent.Jakarta gained 0.6 percent and Wellington rose 0.4 percent, but Bangkok and Singapore were flat and Sydney shed 0.2 percent.Last week’s US jobs data has cemented expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut later this month.In Asia, “rising expectations of Fed rate cuts and with that lower US yields should be a welcome development to some extent providing some breathing space and policy room for Asian central banks”, Michael Wan, senior currency analyst at Japanese bank MUFG, said in a note.”Nonetheless, the key risk for Asian currencies would also lie in a sharp US slowdown and hard-landing recession through sharply slower exports to the US, which we stress is not our base case.”In early European trade, London was up 0.2 percent, Paris climbed 0.5 percent and Frankfurt jumped 0.7 percent.- Key figures at around 0700 GMT -Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 1.5 percent at 43,643.81 (close)Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 0.8 percent at 25,618.79Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 3,826.84 (close)London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 9,223.02Euro/dollar: FLAT from Friday at $1.1722Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3512 from $1.3508 on FridayDollar/yen: UP at 147.82 yen from 147.07 yenEuro/pound: DOWN at 86.75 pence from 86.77 penceWest Texas Intermediate: UP 1.9 percent at $63.03 per barrelBrent North Sea Crude: UP 1.9 percent at $66.72 per barrelNew York – Dow: DOWN 0.5 percent at 45,400.86 (close)