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China, EU stand firm on shipping emission deal despite US threats

China, the European Union and several other members of the International Maritime Organization reaffirmed their support on Tuesday for ambitious plans to cut shipping emissions, despite US threats.Initially approved in April, the London-based IMO are set to vote on Friday on formally adopting the Net Zero Framework (NZF), the first global carbon-pricing system.However, Washington’s threat to impose sanctions on those supporting it had cast doubt on the future of the framework, just as the summit where it is due to be adopted got under way.The summit’s first day on Tuesday was marked by friction between members supporting the NZF and those opposing it.The framework would require ships to progressively reduce carbon emissions from 2028, or face financial penalties.Last week, the United States threatened countries who vote in favour of the framework with sanctions, visa restrictions and port levies, calling the proposal a “global carbon tax on the world”.But several countries, including Britain, Brazil, China and the European Union, reaffirmed their commitment during Tuesday’s meeting of the 176-nation IMO.”We believe that reaching a consensus on global implementation (of the framework) is essential,” a representative from China told members.- Oil producers’ opposition -To be adopted, the framework needs the backing of two-thirds of the present and voting IMO members that are parties to the so-called MARPOL anti-pollution convention.The convention has 108 members.A majority of members — 63 states — that voted in favour of the NZF in April are expected to maintain their support on Friday.The plan would charge ships for emissions exceeding a certain threshold, with proceeds used to reward low-emission vessels and support countries vulnerable to climate change.Several major oil producers — Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United Arab Emirates — voted against the measure, and are expected to do so again this week, arguing it would harm the economy and food security.Pacific Island states, which abstained in the initial vote over concerns the proposal was not ambitious enough, are now expected to support it.The United States withdrew from IMO negotiations in April and did not comment on the proposal until last week.US threats could affect “countries more sensitive to US influence and vulnerable to these retaliations”, a European source told AFP.”We remain optimistic about the outcome, but it will probably be tighter than before, with a higher risk of abstention,” the source added.Countries highly dependent on the maritime industry, such as the Philippines and Caribbean islands, would be particularly impacted by US visa restrictions and sanctions.Contacted by AFP, IMO Secretary-General Arsenio Dominguez declined to respond directly to the US statement, maintaining he was “very confident” about the NZF vote.If the global emissions pricing system was adopted, it would become difficult to evade, even for the United States.IMO conventions allow signatories to inspect foreign ships during stopovers and even detain non-compliant vessels.Since returning to power in January, US President Donald Trump has reversed Washington’s course on climate change, denouncing it as a “scam” and encouraging fossil fuel use by deregulation.

US Fed chair flags concern about sharp slowdown in job creation

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned Tuesday that risks to employment had risen in recent months, noting there had been a sharp slowdown of job creation in the world’s leading economy.”While the unemployment rate remained low through August, payroll gains have slowed sharply, likely in part due to a decline in labor force growth due to lower immigration and labor force participation,” he told a conference in Philadelphia. Economic growth appears to be holding up well, he added. No official jobs data has been published for September due to the ongoing US government shutdown, but private sector figures point to a marked slowdown in hiring last month. In mid-September, Fed officials moved to cut interest rates for the first time this year, voting overwhelmingly for a quarter-point rate reduction to help support the flagging labor market. At the September meeting, Fed policymakers penciled in an additional 50 basis points of cuts this year, which suggests additional action at the bank’s two remaining rate decisions this year, in October and December.”In this less dynamic and somewhat softer labor market, the downside risks to employment appear to have risen,” Powell said, noting that longer-term inflation expectations remained aligned with the Fed’s target of two percent. “Rising downside risks to employment have shifted our assessment of the balance of risks,” he said, adding there was “no risk-free path for policy as we navigate the tension between our employment and inflation goals.”The bank has a dual mandate from Congress to act independently to tackle both inflation and employment. “Both supply and demand in the labor market have come down so sharply, so quickly,” Powell said.”The fact that the unemployment rate has barely moved is kind of remarkable in and of itself, and suggests that they’re moving at roughly the same pace, although, of course, the unemployment rate has ticked up, which suggests that demand is moving a little faster than supply,” he added. Futures traders currently see a more than 95-percent chance that the Fed will cut rates by an additional half percentage point this year, according to data from CME Group. Powell also hinted Tuesday that the Fed could soon stop reducing the size of its balance sheet, which ballooned in the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic as the US central bank piled into Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to support the economy.  “Our long-stated plan is to stop balance sheet runoff when reserves are somewhat above the level we judge consistent with ample reserve conditions,” he said. “We may approach that point in coming months.”

Chicago Catholics agonize over raids in Pope Leo’s hometown

Father Brendan Curran knows many Chicago Catholics who supported Donald Trump’s return to the presidency. But now they’re watching immigration raids across their city in horror — and have Pope Leo XIV sharing their alarm.”Almost to a person, they’re in shock,” Curran told AFP. “This isn’t what they signed up for.”Trump’s claim that Chicago is a virtual war zone, requiring him to deploy armed soldiers, is demonstrably false. But opposition to his hardline immigration crackdown is growing from a more peaceful source: the Catholic Church.Pope Leo, who was born  in Chicago and is the first American ever to head the global Church, has been outspoken in rejecting Trump’s policies.Referring to the Church’s opposition to abortion — something Trump’s Republicans share with many Catholics — he cited the “inhuman treatment of migrants in the United States” and asked if that was “pro-life.”Chicago is the nation’s third largest city, where 30 percent of the population is Latino or Hispanic, many of them Catholic.For Ariella Santoyo, a dress shop owner in the heavily Latino Little Village neighborhood west of Chicago, the reality of Trump’s presidency versus the hope has been brutal.Trump’s conservative promises, especially on abortion, “appeal to a lot of people” in her community, she said.But the immigration arrests — often conducted violently by masked, plainclothes men — were not what they wanted.”We get that sense a lot from… friends that voted for Trump — family members that I know of that voted who said, ‘Oh I never thought that this would happen.'”- Acts of defiance -Images of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) personnel chasing down migrants, bundling them into vans, and spraying protesters with tear gas play well to many of Trump’s supporters.He won election last year in part on his apocalyptic, falsehood-filled rhetoric about violent migrants invading the United States.But in faith communities, and particularly among Catholics, there are increasingly visible rifts with the White House.”We as a church, and church leaders and faithful, have every right to say… our opinion on immigration policy in the United States. And right now we’re in absolute opposition with the federal policy of the White House,” Father Curran said.In one symbolic act of defiance, pastor Gary Graf has started from outside Pope Leo’s boyhood home on an 800-mile (1,300-kilometer) walk to New York’s Statue of Liberty to protest Trump’s policies.And last weekend, hundreds of faithful joined a Eucharistic march from a Catholic church to the immigration authorities’ facility in Broadview, west of Chicago, to try — unsuccessfully — to share communion with detained migrants.”Our mission as a church is under threat,” Curran, a Dominican friar, said. “When we are talking about feed the hungry, clothe the naked, shelter the homeless, and that is considered a federal crime, we’re in trouble as a country.”- ‘We pray for President Trump’ -Curran attended a recent prayer service outside Broadview’s ICE facility. As a helicopter buzzed overhead, two dozen Catholics gathered to recite the rosary.”We pray for President Trump” and other US officials “to continue opening their minds and hearts” to enacting compassionate immigration policies, one of them said.Among the group’s facilitators was Royal Berg, an immigration lawyer who branded Trump’s mass deportation efforts “un-American.””The pope is calling for compassion. What I see from Washington is cruelty,” Berg told AFP.Trump loyalists — including prominent Catholics Vice President JD Vance  and White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt — are defiant. And some of Trump’s influential far-right supporters brand Leo a “woke” liberal.”He is anti-Trump, anti-MAGA, pro-open Borders, and a total Marxist,” influencer Laura Loomer, who has the president’s ear, said on X.

Man pleads guilty to firebombing US state governor’s residence

A US man plead guilty on Tuesday to attempted murder for firebombing the home of Pennsylvania governor and prominent Democrat Josh Shapiro, and now faces between 25 and 50 years imprisonment under a plea agreement, prosecutors said.Cody Balmer, 38, told police he harbored “hatred” towards Governor Shapiro. In April, he threw a Molotov cocktail at the Democrat’s official residence as Shapiro marked the first night of the Passover holiday with friends and family.Asked what he would have done had he encountered Shapiro in the residence during the attack, Balmer told investigators he would “have beaten him with his hammer.””Balmer pleaded guilty to attempted murder of Governor Josh Shapiro, aggravated arson, 22 counts of arson, one for each of the 22 victims within the residence endangered by the arson, burglary, and related offenses,” the Dauphin County District Attorney prosecutor’s office said in a statement. “After the defendant’s guilty plea to all counts, he received the agreed upon sentence of not less than 25 years or more than 50 years.”Shapiro, widely viewed as a potential 2028 presidential contender, was inside with his family when the fire broke out in a different part of the Georgian-style mansion in Harrisburg.No one was hurt but parts of the residence were badly damaged.- ‘Risks’ of public office -“It’s especially hard to know that he tried to murder our family… the hardest part has been to try and explain it to our four children,” Shapiro said in an emotional statement after the plea.”Serving in public office today brings risks. It’s a sad state of affairs.”The United States has faced a rash of political violence in recent months, with the killing of conservative influencer Charlie Kirk following the targeted killing of a Democratic Minnesota lawmaker and her husband, and the assassination of an insurance executive in broad daylight.”We need real accountability for acts of political violence,” Shapiro said. “Today is real accountability… this is a just outcome.”Describing the attack previously, Shapiro said that he and his sleeping family were woken up by a police trooper who “banged on our door” at around 2:00 am local time and that they were evacuated from the building.Balmer was captured on surveillance cameras climbing a perimeter fence, breaking a window and throwing a gasoline-filled Heineken beer bottle, before breaking another window, entering the residence and igniting another bottle.He then fled the property.An ex-lover of Balmer called police and reported that the alleged arsonist wanted to hand himself in, the criminal complaint alleges.Balmer then subsequently walked up to state police headquarters and told an officer he was responsible for the attack.

IMF lifts 2025 global growth forecast, warns of ongoing trade ‘uncertainty’

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday lifted its outlook for global growth this year, flagging a milder-than-expected economic hit from President Donald Trump’s tariff policies while warning of risks ahead. In its flagship World Economic Outlook (WEO) report — compiled before the most recent US-China tariff spat — the IMF hiked its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.2 percent, up from 3.0 in July, while leaving its prediction for 2026 unchanged at 3.1 percent. The global inflation rate is expected to remain elevated at 4.2 percent this year, and 3.7 percent in 2026, underpinned by elevated inflation in several countries including the United States. “The tariff shock itself is smaller than initially feared,” IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told reporters in Washington on Tuesday, adding that the private sector had also supported growth by responding to Trump’s tariffs in an agile way.Other factors, including the AI boom and fiscal policies in Europe and China had also helped to prop up the global economy, he said.But, he warned, “the tariff shock is here, and it is further dimming already weak growth prospects.”Since returning to office, Trump has imposed sweeping tariffs on top trading partners including China and the European Union in a bid to reshape US trading relationships and boost domestic manufacturing. Over the weekend, the US president threatened fresh tariffs of 100 percent on China, on top of current steep levies, criticizing Beijing’s recent decision to tighten export controls on the rare earth minerals crucial to the defense and high-tech sectors. “Everything is very fluid,” Gourinchas told AFP in an interview. “But I think it’s a very useful reminder that we live in a world in which this kind of increase in trade tensions, increase in policy uncertainty, can flare up at any time.”- US upgraded, China unchanged -The IMF raised its prospects for economic growth for the United States, the world’s largest economy, by 0.1 percent this year and next, to 2.0 percent in 2025, and to 2.1 percent in 2026. However, this still represents a marked slowdown from 2024, when US growth hit 2.8 percent.Despite the trade tensions between the world’s two biggest economies, the Fund still expects China’s economy to slow to 4.8 percent this year from 5.0 percent in 2024, before cooling sharply to just 4.2 percent in 2026, in line with previous estimates. China’s slowdown has been driven by a reduction in net exports, which have been at least partly offset by growing domestic demand fueled by policy stimulus, the Fund said. Elsewhere in Asia, the IMF raised India’s 2025 growth forecast to 6.6 percent from 6.4 percent in the last outlook update in July, and hiked its prediction for growth in Japan to 1.1 percent — up 0.4 percentage points.  – Europe’s growth troubles continue -The outlook for Europe has improved slightly from July, with the Eurozone now expected to grow by 1.2 percent this year and by 1.1 percent in 2026. But despite the upgrade, Europe’s growth trajectory still significantly lags the United States.Germany’s economy is expected to bounce back from recession to register growth of 0.2 percent this year, up 0.1 percentage point, before picking up to 0.9 percent next year. And France, which is in the midst of a prolonged political crisis, is expected to see growth cool to 0.7 percent this year, before rising slightly to 0.9 percent in 2026.The one market exception in the Eurozone is Spain, which saw an upgrade and is now expected to see growth remain resilient at 2.9 percent this year and 2.0 percent in 2026.Growth in the United Kingdom is now expected to hit 1.3 percent this year and next. As the war in Ukraine continues, the Russian economy is likely to see a marked slowdown in growth this year to just 0.6 percent this year from 4.3 percent in 2024, the IMF said, cutting its outlook by 0.4 percentage points.

Google to invest $15 bn in India, build largest AI hub outside US

Google said Tuesday it will invest $15 billion in India over the next five years, as it announced a giant data centre and artificial intelligence base in the country.”It is the largest AI hub that we are investing in anywhere outside of the US,” Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian said at a ceremony in New Delhi.Demand for AI tools and solutions is surging among businesses and individuals in India, which is projected to have more than 900 million internet users by year’s end.Kurian announced “capital investment of $15 billion” over the five years and a “gigawatt-scale AI hub in Visakhapatnam”, a port city in the southeastern state of Andhra Pradesh.Google plans for the centre to scale to multiple gigawatts, he added, comparing the project to “a digital backbone connecting different parts of India together”.Globally, data centres are an area of phenomenal growth, fuelled by the need to store massive amounts of digital data, and to train and run energy-intensive AI tools.Google chief Sundar Pichai said on X that he had spoken to Prime Minister Narendra Modi about the “landmark development”.”This hub combines gigawatt-scale compute capacity, a new international subsea gateway, and large-scale energy infrastructure,” he wrote.”Through it we will bring our industry-leading technology to enterprises and users in India, accelerating AI innovation and driving growth across the country.”- ‘Data is the new oil’ -India’s Information Technology Minister, Ashwini Vaishnaw, thanked Google for the investment.”This digital infrastructure will go a long way in meeting the goals of our India AI vision,” he said.Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister Chandrababu Naidu called it a “very happy day”. The state’s Technology Minister Nara Lokesh said on X that the deal followed “a year of intense discussions and relentless effort”.Lokesh, speaking at the announcement, said that “data is the new oil and data centres are the new refineries”.”This is about India playing an important role on the global landscape,” he added.Recently top American AI firms looking to court users in the world’s fifth-largest economy have made a flurry of announcements about expanding into the country.This month US startup Anthropic said it plans to open an office in India next year, with its chief executive Dario Amodei meeting Prime Minister Modi.Modi, in a post on X, told Amodei that “India’s vibrant tech ecosystem and talented youth are driving AI innovation”, adding that he wanted to “harness AI for growth”.OpenAI has said it will open an India office later this year, with its chief Sam Altman noting that ChatGPT usage in the country had grown fourfold over the past year.AI firm Perplexity also announced a major partnership in July with Indian telecom giant Airtel, offering the company’s 360 million customers a free one-year Perplexity Pro subscription.

Myanmar scam cities booming despite crackdown — using Musk’s Starlink

They said they had smashed them. But fraud factories in Myanmar blamed for scamming Chinese and American victims out of billions of dollars are still in business and bigger than ever, an AFP investigation can reveal.Satellite images and AFP drone footage show frenetic building work in the heavily guarded compounds around Myawaddy on the Thailand-Myanmar border, which appear to be using Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite internet service on a huge scale.Experts say most of the centres, notorious for their romance scams and “pig butchering” investment cons, are run by Chinese-led crime syndicates working with Myanmar militias in the lawless badlands of the Golden Triangle.China, Thailand and Myanmar pressured the militias into vowing to “eradicate” the compounds in February, releasing around 7,000 people from a brutal call centre-like system that runs on greed, human trafficking and violence.Freed workers from Asia, Africa and elsewhere showed AFP journalists the scars and bruises of beatings they said were inflicted by their bosses.They said they had been forced to work around the clock, trawling for victims for a plethora of phone and internet scams.Sun, a Chinese national who was sold between several compounds, was able to give AFP a rare insider’s account after being freed with Beijing’s help.But a senior Thai police official said after the crackdown began that up to 100,000 people may still toil in the compounds — often mini cities surrounded by barbed wire fences and armed guards — that have sprung up on the border with Myanmar since the Covid pandemic.Satellite images show rapid construction work resuming at several compounds only weeks after the crackdown. Flocks of Starlink satellite dishes soon began to cover many scam centre roofs after Thailand cut their internet and power connections.Nearly 80 Starlink dishes are visible on one roof alone in AFP photographs of one of the biggest compounds, KK Park.Starlink — which is not licensed in Myanmar — did not have enough traffic to make it onto the list of the country’s internet providers before February.It is now consistently the biggest, topping the ranking every day from July 3 until October 1, according to data from the Asian regional internet registry, APNIC.It first appeared at number 56 in late April.California prosecutors officially warned Starlink in July 2024 that its satellite system was being used by the fraudsters, but received no response. Worried Thai and US politicians have also conveyed their alarm to Musk, with Senator Maggie Hassan calling on him to act.Now the powerful US Congress Joint Economic Committee, on which she is a leading member, has told AFP it has begun an investigation into Starlink’s involvement with the centres.SpaceX, which owns Starlink, did not reply to AFP requests for comment.Erin West, a longtime US cybercrime prosecutor who resigned last year to campaign full-time for action, said “it is abhorrent that an American company is enabling this to happen”.Americans are among the top targets of the Southeast Asian scam syndicates, the US Treasury Department said, losing an estimated $10 billion last year, up 66 percent in 12 months.- Buildings shooting up -The building boom since the crackdown is “breathtaking”, West said. Satellite images show what appear to be office and dormitory blocks shooting up in many of the estimated 27 scam centres in the Myawaddy cluster, strung out along a winding stretch of the Moei River, which forms the frontier with Thailand.A whole new section of KK Park has sprung up in seven months. The security checkpoint at its main entrance has also been hugely expanded, with a new access road and roundabout added.At least five new ferry crossings across the Moei have also appeared to supply the centres from the Thai side, satellite images show.They include one serving Shwe Kokko, which the US Treasury calls a “notorious hub for virtual currency investment scams” under the protection of the Karen National Army, a militia affiliated with Myanmar’s junta.Last month, the US sanctioned nine people and companies connected to Shwe Kokko and the Chinese criminal kingpin She Zhijiang, founder of the multistorey Yatai New City centre. Construction work in Shwe Kokko has also continued apace.The borderlands where Myanmar, Thailand, China and Laos meet — known as the Golden Triangle — has long been a hotbed of opium and amphetamine production, drug trafficking, smuggling, illegal gambling and money laundering.Corruption and the power vacuum created by civil war in Myanmar have allowed organised crime groups to dramatically expand their scam operations.Southeast Asian scam operations conned people in the wider region out of $37 billion in 2023, according to a report by the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime, which said the gangs ruled the centres with an iron fist.Many workers extracted from the compounds in February said they were trafficked through Thailand and beaten and tortured into working as scammers. Others said they were lured by false promises of well-paid jobs. However, experts and NGOs said some also go willingly.Beijing pushed authorities in Myanmar and Thailand to crack down in February after Chinese actor Wang Xing said he was lured to Thailand for a fake casting and trafficked into a scam centre in Myanmar.Last month, China sentenced to death 11 members of a scam syndicate that operated just over the border with Myanmar, with five more given suspended death penalties.AFP has been able to build up a picture of the murky world of the centres and the overlapping militias who guard them after months of investigation. It is a ruthless industry full of slippery characters willing to sell people into the compounds or broker their release — for the right price.- Inside the compounds: Sun’s story -Sun — a pseudonym AFP is using to protect his identity — is one of thousands of Chinese people swallowed up by the scam factories.The soft-spoken young villager from the mountains of southwestern Yunnan province told AFP how he and other workers were repeatedly beaten with electric rods and whips if they slacked or did not follow orders.”Almost everyone inside had been beaten at some point… either for refusing to work or trying to get out,” he said.But with high fences, watchtowers and armed guards, “there was no way to leave”, until he was released with 5,400 other Chinese nationals since the February crackdown.Sun’s testimony is a rare insight into the internal workings of the centres, as he was sold on between several when bosses realised that a slight physical disability limited his usefulness.AFP journalists managed to talk to him as he was being released and later on the phone, as well as back in his poor, isolated village.Sun said his trouble began in June 2024, when he left his home some 100 kilometres (60 miles) across the mountains from Myanmar.With one child already and another on the way, the 25-year-old wanted to provide for his family and had heard there was money to be made selling Chinese goods online through Thailand.”I heard it was very profitable,” he told AFP.The trip turned into a nightmare in the Thai border city of Mae Sot, where Sun said he was abducted and taken over the slow river that divides it from Myanmar’s Myawaddy and its infamous scam centres.He said he was “terrified. I kept begging them on my knees to let me go.”Once in Myawaddy, he said, his plight quickly worsened.Sun said he was brought to a militia camp where he was sold for 650,000 Thai baht ($20,000) to a scam centre — the first of several such transactions.There, he was ordered to do online exercises to speed up his typing. Sun, however, had a problem: a deformed finger that slowed him down and drew the ire of his overseers.The disability, verified by AFP, meant he was repeatedly sold on to other compounds and given menial tasks.But in the last facility — bristling with high fences and gun-toting guards — he got a taste of the real work, sending unsolicited messages to scam targets in the United States.Once the victims were on the hook, he said, he passed the target on to a more specialised scammer who would continue the conversation.Experts confirmed that many Chinese-run compounds split the workforce according to their scamming ability.The centres also provide workers with detailed scripts on how to bait their targets.One 25-page text seen by AFP suggested workers adopt the persona of “Abby”, a lovesick 35-year-old Japanese woman. It advised them to build a romantic rapport with the target.”I feel we are so destined,” the document suggests Abby could say.- Murky business -Much about the industry is opaque, mirroring China and Thailand’s complex relations with Myanmar’s military regime and various rebel and junta-allied groups, many of whom profit from the illegal mining, logging and drug manufacturing going on amid the war there.Scam centre staff run the “whole gamut”, from expendable grunts held in slave-like conditions to skilled programmers working for high salaries, said veteran Myanmar expert David Scott Mathieson, a former Human Rights Watch monitor.Chinese authorities are treating those like Sun who were brought out in February as “suspects” who may have ventured knowingly into war-torn Myanmar.AFP verified key pillars of his story, consulting several experts on the centres. But other portions were harder to confirm — with Thai authorities not providing information, and Chinese officials tailing our reporters and impeding efforts to talk further with him.AFP journalists were followed by multiple unmarked cars while travelling to see Sun in his mountain village, three hours from the nearest city, Lincang.Minutes after AFP met with him, a flurry of officials arrived to “check up” on his welfare. When Sun returned after half an hour, he declined to speak further.- The double sting -In the weeks before his extraction, Sun wondered if he would ever be able to escape the drudgery, threats and violence of the scam centres. “I thought about the possibility (of dying)… almost every day,” he told AFP.AFP obtained a copy of a “work contract” from one centre forbidding staff from chatting or leaving their posts, and giving managers the right to “educate” workers who violate the rules.China has warned its citizens for years about cyber fraud — from the scams themselves to jobs posted online that lure people into the compounds.But a steady stream of Chinese people still disappear into them, prompting desperate searches from loved ones — searches that expose them to another whole level of scams and fraudsters.Fang, a woman from northwestern China’s Gansu province, told AFP her 22-year-old brother, a school dropout, vanished in February in Yunnan, which borders Myanmar.He was likely under “financial pressure” and had travelled to Xishuangbanna, near the Golden Triangle border with Myanmar and Laos, for a job smuggling goods like watches and gold into China, Fang said.Fang said she is now convinced her brother was enticed there and trafficked into Myanmar, with phone records indicating his last known location in the Wa region, home to the country’s biggest and best-equipped ethnic armed group.Like other relatives, she said she felt anxious despite appealing to Chinese authorities for help.”He’s the youngest child in the family,” she said. “My grandmother, who is in the late stages of cancer… cries at home every day.”- ‘Snakeheads’ -Most Chinese scam workers cannot bank on Beijing’s efforts alone to get out.Instead, they may have to pay a ransom that can expose people to the same murky networks that supply the centres in the first place.Fang said she had joined several groups on the Chinese messaging app WeChat filled with dozens of people searching for relatives who disappeared near the Myanmar border.She said she had been approached on social media by self-styled private “rescuers” who claimed to be able to extract people trapped in the compounds.AFP contacted more than a dozen such rescuers advertising their services on Chinese social media platforms Xiaohongshu and Kuaishou.Many seemed to have worked in compounds themselves or touted links to smugglers.They said they could tap underground networks of compound staff, Chinese fugitives and “snakeheads” — smugglers with ties to multiple centres — to track the person and broker their release.Most quoted ransoms equivalent to tens of thousands of dollars, depending on which centre the worker was in and if they owed money to the scam syndicate.Some claimed to take no money for themselves. Others were open about their fees, saying a network of fixers would also get a cut.One self-styled fixer, Li Chao, said he earned thousands of yuan (hundreds of dollars) per month arranging rescues in Cambodia — another major fraud and money-laundering hub — scoping out compounds and whisking away escapees in rental cars.The job was lucrative, but “there are risks for me too”, he told AFP.- Rescuers ‘just another scam’ -Ling Li, a modern slavery researcher who operates an anti-trafficking NGO, said the shadowy private rescue sector made her work freeing workers more “complicated”.Her organisation helps families search for workers in Myanmar and Cambodia, contacting police and negotiating ransoms.She told AFP that many online “rescuers” were either scammers themselves or charged wild sums for extractions that often never materialised.Families “can easily be cheated by opportunists”, she said.Fang said some handed over thousands of yuan without success. The rescuers “claim to have connections… but in reality, it’s just (another) scam”, she said.Release came for Sun on February 12, after Thailand cut power to scam-ridden parts of Myanmar.That morning, as he was repairing phones, an armed group arrived, piled him and dozens of others into pickup trucks and drove them to a militia camp.Within hours, he was on a ferry back into Thailand. “I never imagined… that I would be rescued so suddenly,” he told AFP.Ten days later, he was put on a plane to the Chinese city of Nanjing — flanked by police officers.Sun was one of thousands rounded up in the joint operation between Beijing, Thailand and local Myanmar militias — the Border Guard Forces (BGF) and the Democratic Karen Buddhist Army (DKBA), former ethnic-Karen rebel groups now allied with the Burmese army.They are two of several, often overlapping, militias operating around Myawaddy.The scammers operate in a “highly permissive environment… with permission from junta-affiliated Burmese militia”, concluded a report last month by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.The think tank, which is partly funded by Australia’s defence ministry, noted that while fighting between rival militia groups often rages near the centres, they are reportedly never hit, so as not to endanger the “pure profits available through the scamming industry”.AFP sought comment from the BGF, but they did not respond.The report’s author, Nathan Ruser, told AFP it was “shocking” that syndicates have been given “such a permanent, established infrastructure” for smuggling “construction materials, goods and the trafficking of people”.- ‘Like an enemy state’ -China has said its clampdowns show its “resolute” commitment to stamping out the scammers, but Ruser and other experts say they only temporarily disrupt the syndicates.”As long as the (military) junta (in Myanmar) enables and fuels this industry, I think it’s only ever going to be a game of cat and mouse,” Ruser said.New ones will simply “pop up elsewhere”, he added.Sun insisted he was forced into the compounds and never tricked anyone into handing over money.Traumatised, exhausted and still on bail, he said he found the “mental burden” of his ordeal hard to bear.Beijing has not said how it plans to deal with the freed workers. Experts said many of them try to play down their role to avoid punishment.But Chinese society has scant sympathy, regardless of whether they are brutalised victims of trafficking, said researcher Ling Li. “People will judge you for being greedy and stupid.”Governments, however, have been “insanely negligent” about the gravity of the problem, warned cybercrime expert Erin West.”A generation’s worth of wealth is being stolen from us,” she said.”I don’t know how we shut this down. It is way too big now, like an enemy state.”isk-mjw-sjc-nlc-fg/jhb

Trump tariffs on timber, furniture take effect

US President Donald Trump’s fresh tariffs on imported wood, furniture and kitchen cabinets took effect Tuesday, a development likely to fuel building costs and pile pressure on homebuyers in an already challenging market.The duties were imposed to boost US industries and protect national security, according to the White House, and they broaden a slate of sector-specific tariffs Trump has imposed since returning to the presidency.The latest salvo features a 10-percent tariff on imports of softwood lumber, while duties on certain upholstered furniture and kitchen cabinets start at 25 percent.Come January 1, the rate on imported upholstered furniture is set to rise to 30 percent, while those on kitchen cabinets and vanities will jump to 50 percent.But duties on wood products from Britain will not exceed 10 percent, and those from the European Union and Japan face a 15-percent ceiling. All three trading partners have reached deals with the Trump administration to avert harsher duties.But the new tariffs will “create additional headwinds for an already challenged housing market by further raising construction and renovation costs,” warned National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) chairman Buddy Hughes.US home sales have been gloomy in recent years with high mortgage rates and limited inventory pushing costs up for buyers.In imposing the latest duties, Trump said the Commerce Secretary found that “wood products are used in critical functions of the Department of War, including building infrastructure for operational testing.”Trump’s proclamation added that US wood production “remains underdeveloped,” leaving the country import-dependent.But NAHB’s Hughes said: “Imposing these tariffs under a ‘national security’ pretext ignores the importance housing plays to the physical and economic security of all Americans.”He urged for deals that instead “roll back tariffs on building materials.”- Canada, Vietnam hit? -Canada, the top supplier of lumber to the United States, is set to be impacted.The 10-percent lumber tariff stacks on anti-dumping and countervailing duties the country faces, and the United States recently more than doubled these to 35 percent.This means that Trump’s latest action brings duties on Canadian lumber to 45 percent.The BC Lumber Trade Council, which represents British Columbian lumber producers in Canada on trade matters, in September called the new tariffs “misguided and unnecessary.””This will impose needless strain on the North American market, threaten jobs on both sides of the border, and make it harder to address the housing supply crisis in the United States,” the council added.Stephen Brown of Capital Economics told AFP that with 30 percent of lumber sourced from abroad, a 10-percent tariff could raise the cost of building an average home by $2,200.Brown added that China, Vietnam and Mexico account for the bulk of US furniture imports.”The US gets 27 percent of its furniture imports from China and then almost 20 percent from both Vietnam and Mexico,” he told AFP.He expects Vietnam could face the biggest impact “as furniture makes up 10 percent of its exports to the US.”The corresponding figures are smaller at four percent for China and 2.5 percent for Mexico.The tariffs were imposed under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, the same authority Trump used to roll out steel, aluminum and auto duties this year.Products subject to sector-specific tariffs are not doubly hit by countrywide levels that Trump has separately imposed, which are in some cases higher.

US threats cast doubt on shipping emissions deal

An ambitious plan by the UN’s shipping agency to cut maritime emissions could be scuttled at the last minute after the United States threatened to impose sanctions on those supporting it.Already approved in April, members of the London-based International Maritime Organization (IMO) are set to formally adopt the Net Zero Framework (NZF) on Friday as part of talks opening Tuesday.The framework requires ships to progressively reduce their carbon emissions starting in 2028, and achieve complete decarbonisation by 2050.But the United States on Friday threatened sanctions and other punitive actions against those who support it, potentially derailing the plans.Top US diplomat Marco Rubio, Energy Secretary Chris Wright and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said in a statement the administration of President Donald Trump “unequivocally rejects” the NZF proposal.They threatened a range of punishing actions against countries that vote in favour of the framework, from visa restrictions to blocking vessels registered in those countries from US ports and imposing commercial penalties.- US influence -The NZF would require all ships to use a less carbon-intensive fuel mix or face financial penalties.In April a majority of members — 63 states — voted in favour, including the European Union, Brazil, China, India and Japan.Sixteen states voted against the measure, including major oil producers Saudi Arabia, Russia and the United Arab Emirates.Pacific Island states abstained from the vote, deeming the proposals insufficient to meet decarbonisation goals.The United States had withdrawn from negotiations, not commenting on the proposal until last week.Brussels reaffirmed on Monday the full support of European Union states for the proposal, as did Britain, when contacted by AFP.But US threats may affect “other countries more sensitive to US influence and vulnerable to these retaliations”, a European source told AFP.”We remain optimistic about the outcome, but it will probably be tighter than before, with a higher risk of abstention,” the source added.Consensus, usually the norm in this assembly, has already been ruled out.The Philippines, which has the world’s largest contingent of maritime workers and supported the NZF in April, would be particularly impacted by visa restrictions.Caribbean islands, economically dependent on US cruises, could also be affected by sanctions.- Trump alleges climate ‘scam’ -Contacted by AFP, IMO Secretary-General Arsenio Dominguez declined to respond directly to the US statement, maintaining he was “very confident” about the NZF vote.The NZF would charge ships a tax on emissions exceeding a certain threshold, creating a fund to reward low-emission vessels and support countries vulnerable to climate change.If the global emissions pricing system were adopted, it would become difficult to evade, even for the United States.IMO conventions allow signatories to inspect foreign ships during stopovers and even detain non-compliant vessels.Since returning to power in January, Trump has reversed Washington’s course on climate change, denouncing it as a “scam” and encouraging fossil fuel use by deregulation.

SpaceX launches Starship megarocket on successful test flight

SpaceX’s massive Starship rocket soared through Texas’s golden-hour skies Monday before splashing down successfully, as the US company vies to silence critics who doubt Elon Musk’s startup can deliver NASA’s lunar projects on time.In its 11th test voyage, the enormous rocket took off Monday from Space X’s south Texas launch facilities just after 6:25pm local time (2325 GMT), according to a live video feed which also featured resounding applause from engineering teams.Its rocket booster known was Super Heavy landed in Gulf waters as planned, while the upper stage, also known individually as Starship, cruised through space and ran through tests, charting a similar path to the last successful mission in August. It blazed into the Indian Ocean a little over an hour post-liftoff, having released mock satellites as it had on its previous flight. There was no recovery of the vehicle planned.NASA plans to use the mammoth Starship — the world’s largest and most powerful rocket — in its efforts to return astronauts to the Moon. It is also key to Musk’s zealous vision to take humans to Mars.The billionaire SpaceX founder said on the webcast prior to launch he was planning to watch outside, rather than inside as he previously had: it’s “much more visceral,” he said.Monday’s test mission was expected to be the last for this iteration of Starship prototypes. The next flight will debut a new model, Version 3, SpaceX said. The space technology company could claim its two most recent flights as wins. But those followed a series of spectacular explosions that raised concerns Starship ultimately might not live up to its promises — at least not on the timeline lawmakers and the scientific community had hoped for.The US space agency’s Artemis program aims to return humans to the Moon as China forges ahead with a rival effort that’s targeting 2030, at the latest, for its first crewed mission.US President Donald Trump’s second term in the White House has seen the administration pile pressure on NASA to accelerate its progress — efforts Starship is key to. Musk’s company has a multibillion-dollar federal contract to develop a modified version of Starship as a lunar lander.- ‘Second space race’ -The manned Artemis III mission is intended for mid-2027 — but a NASA safety advisory panel has warned it could be “years late,” according to Space Policy Online.And former NASA administrator Jim Bridenstine told a Senate panel recently that “unless something changes, it is highly unlikely the United States will beat China’s projected timeline.”NASA’s acting administrator Sean Duffy has insisted the US will still win the “second space race,” telling reporters last month that “America has led in space in the past, and we are going to continue to lead in space in the future,” while dismissing the notion that China could get there first.Previous tests of the enormous Starship rocket have resulted in explosions of the upper stage, including twice over the Caribbean and once after reaching space. In June, the upper stage blew up during a ground test.Musk has identified developing a fully reusable orbital heat shield as the toughest task, noting it took nine months to refurbish the Space Shuttle’s heat shield between flights.Another hurdle is proving Starship can be refueled in orbit with super-cooled propellant — an essential but untested step for the vehicle to carry out deep-space missions.NASA’s Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel has emphasized “threats” related to ensuring that that vital transfer can be carried out, with member Paul Hill saying the timeline is “significantly challenged.”