European and US equity futures rose, while Asian shares advanced amid a positive tone for risk taking, with a gauge of dollar strength near a nine-month low and hopes for a pause in interest rate hikes.
(Bloomberg) — European and US equity futures rose, while Asian shares advanced amid a positive tone for risk taking, with a gauge of dollar strength near a nine-month low and hopes for a pause in interest rate hikes.
Hong Kong-listed technology companies surged more than 3% after traders returned from Lunar New Year holidays, pushing a benchmark of Asian stocks toward the highest close since April.
Japan’s Topix index erased earlier gains as the yen strengthened, leading the charge among Group-of-10 currencies against the dollar.
Markets in Australia were closed for a national holiday, along with those in India, which have been rocked by US short seller Hindenburg Research LLC targeting Adani Group with accusations of manipulation and fraud. Mainland China markets remain closed.
A number of dollar bonds issued by Adani Group declined further Thursday. Among the top losers were Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone’s 2024 notes, which posted the biggest single-day drop since April 2020.
Gains posted this week in US-listed Chinese stocks and the S&P 500 added to the updraft for Hong Kong equities. Also supporting sentiment in Asia, holiday travel and box office data in China showed signs of recovery as people took advantage of Beijing’s pivot away from its Covid Zero policy.
Nomura Holdings Inc. equity strategist Chetan Seth said he remained tactically bullish on China stocks and expected stocks in Hong Kong to persist “on the stronger side. China’s economic improvement may take place over around seven to eight months, according to Seth. “That means as far as stock market is concerned, at least for next three to four months, the recovery reopening trade will probably sustain,” he said on Bloomberg Television.
The dollar’s weakness accompanied speculation that the Federal Reserve may be getting closer to pausing its rate-hike cycle. The Bank of Canada, which led its global peers in raising rates rapidly last year, has now indicated it will hold steady.
Treasuries were little changed in Asian trading. An auction of five-year Treasury notes on Wednesday extended a winning streak, reflecting robust investor appetite for US government debt.
Owning bonds, particularly Treasuries, has become attractive again as either a hedge against recession, and/or to provide income, according to Marvin Loh, senior global macro strategist at State Street. “Locking in these yields is something that ultimately is proving attractive to a lot of investors who might have been short a lot of these securities after the volatility and the challenging world we had last year,” he said on Bloomberg Television.
In the US stock market overnight, earlier losses were mostly recovered, as attention shifted from Microsoft Corp.’s dire sales warning to Tesla Inc.’s earnings report after the closing bell.
Elon Musk’s electric-vehicle giant whipsawed in late trading before gaining more than 5%. International Business Machines Corp. delivered an upbeat annual sales forecast while announcing it would eliminate about 1.5% of its global workforce, following similar job cuts by many of its tech peers.
The S&P 500 is headed for the best January since 2019 driven by expectations that the Fed will moderate its rate hikes. The equity rebound came just as the economy is headed for a downturn — setting the stage for a selloff, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Marko Kolanovic told CNBC.
The New York Stock Exchange said a manual error tied a backup system caused Tuesday’s wild price swings and trading halts for hundreds of company stocks.
On the monetary front, the Bank of Japan released a summary of opinions of its latest board meeting, with one member saying it needs a policy assessment at some point in the future.
Japan’s benchmark 10-year government bond yields rose 2.5 basis points as they inch back toward the BOJ’s 0.5% ceiling.
The South Korean won’s recent rally paused after data showed the nation’s economy in the last quarter shrank for the first time since the beginning of the pandemic on falling exports and consumer spending. The Kospi stock index extended on gains made Wednesday after the Lunar New Year holiday.
Elsewhere, oil steadied as investors weighed the outlook for Chinese demand. Gold was little changed.
Key events:
- Earnings for the week include: American Airlines, Blackstone, Comcast, Diageo, Intel, LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Mastercard, SAP, Southwest Airlines, Visa (Thursday); American Express, Charter Communications, Chevron, HCA Healthcare (Friday)
- US fourth-quarter GDP, new home sales, initial jobless claims, Thursday
- US personal income/spending, PCE deflator, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, pending home sales, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
- S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% as of 6:36 a.m. London time. The S&P 500 ended little changed
- Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.6%. The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.3%
- Japan’s Topix index fell 0.1%
- South Korea’s Kospi index rose 1.7%
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 2.1%
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures rose 0.7%
Currencies
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed
- The euro was little changed at $1.0920
- The Japanese yen rose 0.2% to 129.38 per dollar
- The offshore yuan rose 0.4% to 6.7461 per dollar
- The Australian dollar rose 0.2% to $0.7119
Cryptocurrencies
- Bitcoin fell 2.4% to $23,034.57
- Ether fell 0.6% to $1,609.11
Bonds
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 3.44%
- Japan’s 10-year yield advanced 2.5 basis points to 0.46%
Commodities
- West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.2% to $80.35 a barrel
- Spot gold was little changed
This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
–With assistance from Rita Nazareth and Stephen Kirkland.
More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com
©2023 Bloomberg L.P.