The Kremlin introduced harsh new penalties for people who evade military call-up, adding to fears that the government is planning another mass mobilization as the invasion of Ukraine drags into its second year.
(Bloomberg) — The Kremlin introduced harsh new penalties for people who evade military call-up, adding to fears that the government is planning another mass mobilization as the invasion of Ukraine drags into its second year.
President Vladimir Putin Friday signed the law, which was rushed through parliament earlier this week in 24 hours, according to the Tass state news service.
Under the new rules, the authorities can deliver military call-up notices both for conscripts and mobilized reservists online, and almost immediately bar the recipients from leaving the country. Those who ignore the summons within 20 days will be barred from buying or selling property, or driving a car, among other rights. Previously, all such notices had to be hand-delivered and signed for by the recipient to be legal.
Former Kremlin adviser Sergei Markov described the changes as a “big shock for Russia,” with even those who have left the country not spared as they’ll also receive the summons electronically and will face the same restrictions as people living inside Russia. “This is a new world,” he said on Telegram.
The measures create a new national online system for tracking the tens of millions of Russians potentially eligible to be called to serve.
The Kremlin says there are no plans currently to mobilize more people to fight in Ukraine. But Russia is digging in for a fight that may last years as Kyiv prepares to launch a counteroffensive using new weapons supplied by its allies in the US and Europe.
Last year’s call-up of 300,000 reservists provoked public panic that prompted up to a million Russians to flee the country. Putin later ordered officials to streamline and automate a mobilization system that hadn’t been updated in decades.
This year, the Kremlin has so far taken a gentler approach, seeking to recruit as many as 400,000 contract troops in the hope of avoiding the outcry a new mass call-up would cause. Officials and military experts say that goal is likely to prove ambitious given a shortage of recruits.
Up to 200,000 Russian soldiers were killed or wounded in the first year of fighting, according to the UK.
Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said in September that Russia has at its disposal 25 million reservists, though it initially called up only just above 1% of them.
“The most logical thing to do is never to come back until the end of the Putin regime,” said Anastasia Burakova, founder of the Ark, an association helping Russians to leave for other countries.
Officials sought to reassure citizens as the changes were rushed through parliament virtually without debate, describing the changes as aimed at improving efficiency.
In a rare dissenting voice, Senator Lyudmilla Narusova said the legislation violated basic rights and was adopted in a “huge rush. “Let’s not pretend otherwise, we all understand what this law is aimed at,” ” she said at a parliamentary hearing.
The move to harness digital technology to round up people for military duty in Ukraine is a modern reincarnation of Soviet-era controls used in the Gulag system of penal camps, said Tatiana Stanovaya, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center and founder of the R.Politik consultancy.
“The authorities are very fast, ahead of many other states, even of an authoritarian type, building a new political reality, where rights and obligations will be regulated through digital platforms controlled by state agencies,” she said. “It started back in the Covid pandemic, when many people were already talking about the digital Gulag. Now it is accelerating.”
More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com
©2023 Bloomberg L.P.