Thailand Raises Key Rate to 8-Year High to Win Inflation Fight

Thailand’s central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to the highest level in eight years to anchor inflation expectations more firmly in an economy on track for faster expansion amid a rebound in tourism.

(Bloomberg) — Thailand’s central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to the highest level in eight years to anchor inflation expectations more firmly in an economy on track for faster expansion amid a rebound in tourism.

The Bank of Thailand’s Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to raise the one-day repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, as seen by 22 of 24 economists in a Bloomberg survey, with two predicting no change. The key rate was at 2% back in January 2015.

Although headline inflation has eased every month since January, returning within the BOT’s 1%-3% target in March, the central bank has emphasized the need to keep price gains in check over time. The key risks are increased consumption from a tourism-led pickup in economic activity and possibly higher spending by a new government following the May 14 election that saw several populist political pledges.

Wednesday’s tightening will help narrow Thailand’s real interest rate to a negative 0.67% from 0.92% previously — still making it Southeast Asia’s lowest after adjusting for prices.

The Thai baht has weakened about 1.5% in the past month, while foreign investors turned net sellers of local bonds and stocks on concerns about possible delay in formation of a new government, which will affect budget spending and investment. 

–With assistance from Tomoko Sato, Pathom Sangwongwanich and Anuchit Nguyen.

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